Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Trump Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 104.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 48.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 50.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 52.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| Ace Bailey: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Darryn Peterson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Darryn Peterson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Keldon Johnson: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Jaxson Hayes: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Jaxson Hayes: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 92% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 5.5 | 92% |
| Darryn Peterson: Points O/U 9.5 | 92% |
| Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 92% |
| Darryn Peterson: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 92% |
| Darryn Peterson: Assists O/U 1.5 | 92% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5 | 87% |
| O/U 206.5 | 86% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 85% |
| Julian Champagnie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 83% |
| O/U 208.5 | 82% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 82% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 9.5 | 82% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 19.5 | 82% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 9.5 | 81% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5 | 81% |
| Ace Bailey: Points O/U 14.5 | 81% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 9.5 | 80% |
| Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 78% |
| Spurs vs. Jazz | 76% |
| O/U 210.5 | 76% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 74% |
| Darryn Peterson: Points O/U 14.5 | 74% |
| Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 74% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 29.5 | 73% |
| Spread -1.5 | 71% |
| O/U 212.5 | 70% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 70% |
| Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 68% |
| O/U 214.5 | 65% |
| Spread -3.5 | 63% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 24.5 | 60% |
| O/U 216.5 | 59% |
| Spread -5.5 | 57% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5 | 56% |
| Darryn Peterson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 55% |
| Jazz 1H O/U 52.5 | 53% |
| Jazz 1H O/U 54.5 | 53% |
| O/U 218.5 | 52% |
| Team to Score First | 51% |
| Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Steals O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Darryn Peterson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Keyonte George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Keyonte George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Steals O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Devin Vassell: Steals O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Devin Vassell: Steals O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Stephon Castle: Steals O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Keldon Johnson: Points O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Jaxson Hayes: Assists O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: Points O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Spurs O/U 111.5 | 50% |
| Jazz O/U 99.5 | 50% |
| Spurs O/U 113.5 | 50% |
| Spurs O/U 115.5 | 50% |
| Jazz O/U 101.5 | 50% |
| Jazz O/U 103.5 | 50% |
| Spurs O/U 117.5 | 50% |
| Jazz 2H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Spurs O/U 119.5 | 50% |
| Jazz O/U 105.5 | 50% |
| Spurs O/U 121.5 | 50% |
| Jazz O/U 107.5 | 50% |
| Jazz O/U 109.5 | 50% |
| Spurs O/U 123.5 | 50% |
| Jazz O/U 111.5 | 50% |
| Spurs O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Spurs O/U 127.5 | 50% |
| Jazz O/U 113.5 | 50% |
| Jazz O/U 115.5 | 50% |
| Spurs O/U 129.5 | 50% |
| Spurs O/U 131.5 | 50% |
| Jazz O/U 117.5 | 50% |
| Jazz O/U 121.5 | 50% |
| Spurs O/U 133.5 | 50% |
| Spurs O/U 135.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: Points O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| Spurs 2H O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| Jazz 2H O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Jazz 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Jazz 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Jazz 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Assists O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Dylan Harper: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Keyonte George: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Stephon Castle: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Julian Champagnie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Julian Champagnie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Julian Champagnie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Julian Champagnie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Julian Champagnie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Keldon Johnson: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Keldon Johnson: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Keldon Johnson: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Keldon Johnson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Keldon Johnson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Keldon Johnson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Keldon Johnson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jaxson Hayes: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jaxson Hayes: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jaxson Hayes: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Jaxson Hayes: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Darryn Peterson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jaxson Hayes: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Jaxson Hayes: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Jaxson Hayes: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jaxson Hayes: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jaxson Hayes: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jaxson Hayes: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jaxson Hayes: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 55.5 | 48% |
| 2Q O/U 57.5 | 48% |
| 2Q O/U 59.5 | 48% |
| 2Q O/U 61.5 | 48% |
| 2Q O/U 63.5 | 48% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 59.5 | 48% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 61.5 | 48% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 65.5 | 48% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 63.5 | 48% |
| Jazz 1H O/U 56.5 | 48% |
| Jazz 1H O/U 58.5 | 48% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 67.5 | 48% |
| Jazz 1H O/U 60.5 | 48% |
| Spread -7.5 | 47% |
| Spread -39.5 | 46% |
| O/U 220.5 | 46% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 14.5 | 46% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 46% |
| Ace Bailey: Points O/U 19.5 | 46% |
| Spread -8.5 | 44% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 42% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 9.5 | 42% |
| O/U 222.5 | 41% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 34.5 | 38% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5 | 38% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 5.5 | 38% |
| Spread -10.5 | 36% |
| O/U 224.5 | 35% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 14.5 | 33% |
| Darryn Peterson: Points O/U 19.5 | 32% |
| Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 31% |
| Spread -11.5 | 30% |
| O/U 226.5 | 29% |
| Spread -12.5 | 28% |
| Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 9.5 | 28% |
| Ace Bailey: Assists O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 29.5 | 26% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 19.5 | 25% |
| O/U 228.5 | 24% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 24% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 24% |
| Spread -2.5 | 23% |
| Spread -13.5 | 21% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 21% |
| Darryn Peterson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 21% |
| Spread -14.5 | 20% |
| O/U 230.5 | 20% |
| Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 19.5 | 19% |
| Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 18% |
| Spread -15.5 | 17% |
| Spread -4.5 | 16% |
| O/U 232.5 | 16% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 14.5 | 16% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 16% |
| Darryn Peterson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 15% |
| Spread -16.5 | 14% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Ace Bailey: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Spread -17.5 | 13% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5 | 13% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| Keyonte George: Assists O/U 9.5 | 13% |
| O/U 234.5 | 12% |
| Spread -6.5 | 12% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 19.5 | 12% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 14.5 | 12% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| O/U 236.5 | 10% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| Spread -19.5 | 9% |
| Spread -8.5 | 8% |
| O/U 238.5 | 8% |
| Spread -21.5 | 7% |
| Spread -23.5 | 7% |
| O/U 240.5 | 7% |
| Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| Spread -16.5 | 6% |
| O/U 242.5 | 6% |
| Spread -25.5 | 5% |
| O/U 244.5 | 5% |
| Spread -27.5 | 4% |
| Spread -12.5 | 3% |
| Spread -14.5 | 3% |
| Spread -29.5 | 3% |
| O/U 248.5 | 3% |
| O/U 250.5 | 3% |
| Race to 20 | 2% |
| Spread -31.5 | 2% |
| Spread -33.5 | 2% |
| Spread -35.5 | 2% |
| Spread -37.5 | 2% |
| O/U 246.5 | 2% |
| O/U 252.5 | 2% |
| O/U 254.5 | 2% |
| 1H Moneyline | 1% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -22.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -24.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 1% |
| 1H O/U 106.5 | 1% |
| 1H O/U 108.5 | 1% |
| 1H O/U 110.5 | 1% |
| 1H O/U 112.5 | 1% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 1% |
| 1H O/U 116.5 | 1% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 1% |
| 1H O/U 122.5 | 1% |
| 1H O/U 124.5 | 1% |
| 1H O/U 126.5 | 1% |
| 1H O/U 128.5 | 1% |
| 1H O/U 130.5 | 1% |
| 1H O/U 132.5 | 1% |
| 1H O/U 134.5 | 1% |
| 1H O/U 136.5 | 1% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 1% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 1% |
| Race to 10 | 0% |
| Race to 30 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 120.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 54.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 56.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 60.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 62.5 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Spurs vs. Jazz. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 28 at 9:00PM ET: If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs". If the Jazz win, the market will resolve to "Jazz". If the game is postponed, thi…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $2.7M.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Spurs vs. Jazz plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Can prediction markets influence election outcomes?
- Markets reflect expectations rather than create them. Studies show public-facing markets can anchor expectations, but don't influence the underlying outcome. Political markets are information, not advocacy.
- Which platform has the deepest political liquidity?
- Polymarket — by far. US 2024 presidential volume was ~$3.5B vs Kalshi (~$200M) and Betfair (~$120M). Where Polymarket is geo-blocked, brokers like Trump Prediction route into the same order book at 0% fees.
- How fast do political markets react to news?
- High-liquidity markets move within seconds to minutes. A Trump tweet on the economy can shift the "Trump 2024" market 2-5 points before mainstream media has written anything.
- Why do Polymarket and Kalshi differ on elections?
- Kalshi must follow CFTC compliance — strict definitions, clear resolution sources, US citizens only with KYC. Polymarket operates globally without CFTC oversight — deeper liquidity, but also higher regulatory risk.
- Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
- Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
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