Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Trump Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
94% | 6% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
94% | 6% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 202.5 | 94% |
| O/U 204.5 | 92% |
| 1H O/U 102.5 | 91% |
| O/U 206.5 | 90% |
| O/U 208.5 | 88% |
| 1H O/U 104.5 | 87% |
| O/U 210.5 | 85% |
| Wizards O/U 98.5 | 84% |
| 1H O/U 106.5 | 83% |
| O/U 212.5 | 82% |
| Wizards O/U 100.5 | 80% |
| O/U 214.5 | 79% |
| 1H O/U 108.5 | 77% |
| O/U 216.5 | 76% |
| Wizards O/U 102.5 | 75% |
| O/U 218.5 | 72% |
| 1H O/U 110.5 | 72% |
| Spread -1.5 | 70% |
| Wizards O/U 104.5 | 69% |
| 2Q O/U 54.5 | 68% |
| Spread -2.5 | 67% |
| O/U 220.5 | 67% |
| Hawks 1H O/U 57.5 | 67% |
| 1H O/U 112.5 | 67% |
| Spread -3.5 | 65% |
| Race to 10 | 65% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 53.5 | 65% |
| O/U 222.5 | 64% |
| 4Q O/U 54.5 | 64% |
| Wizards O/U 106.5 | 63% |
| Spread -4.5 | 61% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 61% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 61% |
| 2Q O/U 56.5 | 60% |
| Spread -5.5 | 59% |
| O/U 224.5 | 59% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 59% |
| Hawks 1H O/U 59.5 | 58% |
| Wizards O/U 108.5 | 56% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 55.5 | 56% |
| Spread -6.5 | 55% |
| O/U 226.5 | 54% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 54% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 54% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 54% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 54% |
| 1H O/U 116.5 | 54% |
| Spread -7.5 | 52% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 57.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 56.5 | 51% |
| Wizards 2H O/U 54.5 | 51% |
| O/U 228.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Kingston Flemings: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kingston Flemings: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Dyson Daniels: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Dyson Daniels: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Dyson Daniels: Steals O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Bilal Coulibaly: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bilal Coulibaly: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Bilal Coulibaly: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Bilal Coulibaly: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bilal Coulibaly: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Bilal Coulibaly: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Hawks O/U 116.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Hawks O/U 114.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Hawks O/U 122.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| Hawks O/U 112.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Hawks O/U 124.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Hawks O/U 110.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| Hawks O/U 108.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| Hawks O/U 128.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 47.5 | 50% |
| Hawks O/U 106.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 71.5 | 50% |
| Hawks O/U 130.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Hawks 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Hawks 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 2H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Hawks 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Hawks 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 2H O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Hawks 2H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 117.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Wizards O/U 109.5 | 50% |
| Hawks 1H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Alexandre Sarr: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Wiggins: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Wiggins: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Wiggins: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| CJ McCollum: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| CJ McCollum: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| CJ McCollum: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Bub Carrington: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Bub Carrington: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Bub Carrington: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Bub Carrington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bub Carrington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Bub Carrington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| 2Q O/U 58.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| Hawks O/U 126.5 | 49% |
| Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| CJ McCollum: Assists O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Kingston Flemings: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Spread -8.5 | 48% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Points O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| O/U 229.5 | 48% |
| Kyshawn George: Steals O/U 0.5 | 48% |
| Kyshawn George: Steals O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Steals O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| Wizards O/U 110.5 | 48% |
| Aaron Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 47% |
| Hawks 1H O/U 61.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 47% |
| Aaron Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Kingston Flemings: Steals O/U 2.5 | 47% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 5.5 | 46% |
| Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 46% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 1.5 | 46% |
| CJ McCollum: Points O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 46% |
| CJ McCollum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 46% |
| Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 46% |
| Hawks O/U 119.5 | 46% |
| O/U 230.5 | 45% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 15.5 | 45% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 14.5 | 45% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 9.5 | 45% |
| Kingston Flemings: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 45% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| CJ McCollum: Assists O/U 1.5 | 45% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 57.5 | 45% |
| Race to 20 | 45% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| Spread -9.5 | 44% |
| Trae Young: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 44% |
| Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 9.5 | 44% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 44% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Assists O/U 1.5 | 44% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 44% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Steals O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| CJ McCollum: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 43% |
| Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 3.5 | 42% |
| 1H O/U 120.5 | 42% |
| Hawks O/U 120.5 | 42% |
| Spread -10.5 | 41% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| Luguentz Dort: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Wizards O/U 112.5 | 41% |
| O/U 232.5 | 40% |
| Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| Kingston Flemings: Assists O/U 3.5 | 40% |
| 2Q O/U 60.5 | 40% |
| Spread -11.5 | 39% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Points O/U 14.5 | 39% |
| AJ Dybantsa: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 39% |
| Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 9.5 | 39% |
| Trae Young: Steals O/U 0.5 | 39% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| Hawks 1H O/U 63.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 39% |
| Luguentz Dort: Steals O/U 0.5 | 39% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 38% |
| 1H O/U 122.5 | 38% |
| O/U 234.5 | 37% |
| Alexandre Sarr: Assists O/U 1.5 | 37% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 15.5 | 37% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 37% |
| Kingston Flemings: Assists O/U 9.5 | 37% |
| Bilal Coulibaly: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 37% |
| Spread -12.5 | 36% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 14.5 | 36% |
| Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 36% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 7.5 | 36% |
| Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 24.5 | 36% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 36% |
| Aaron Wiggins: Assists O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 34.5 | 35% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 35% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 59.5 | 35% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 35% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 35% |
| Wizards O/U 114.5 | 35% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 34% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 34% |
| O/U 236.5 | 33% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 19.5 | 33% |
| 1Q O/U 57.5 | 33% |
| Aaron Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 33% |
| Spread -14.5 | 32% |
| Trae Young: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 32% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Assists O/U 1.5 | 32% |
| Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 32% |
| CJ McCollum: Points O/U 14.5 | 32% |
| CJ McCollum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 32% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 32% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 32% |
| 1H O/U 124.5 | 32% |
| Kingston Flemings: Steals O/U 1.5 | 32% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Points O/U 18.5 | 31% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 19.5 | 31% |
| Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| Kingston Flemings: Points O/U 9.5 | 31% |
| Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 5.5 | 31% |
| 2Q O/U 62.5 | 31% |
| Aaron Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 30% |
| Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 30% |
| CJ McCollum: Assists O/U 3.5 | 30% |
| Hawks 1H O/U 65.5 | 30% |
| O/U 238.5 | 29% |
| Wizards vs. Hawks | 28% |
| Alexandre Sarr: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 28% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 28% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 14.5 | 28% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| Hawks O/U 118.5 | 28% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 28% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 28% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 61.5 | 28% |
| Wizards O/U 116.5 | 28% |
| Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 27% |
| Luguentz Dort: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| 1Q O/U 59.5 | 27% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 27% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 16.5 | 27% |
| O/U 240.5 | 26% |
| Spread -16.5 | 26% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 9.5 | 26% |
| Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 12.5 | 26% |
| Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 26% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 3.5 | 26% |
| Kyshawn George: Steals O/U 1.5 | 26% |
| Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 9.5 | 26% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 26% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 22.5 | 26% |
| Spread -1.5 | 25% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Points O/U 19.5 | 25% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 25% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 25% |
| Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 4.5 | 24% |
| Kingston Flemings: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 24% |
| Kingston Flemings: Assists O/U 5.5 | 24% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 24% |
| Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 1.5 | 24% |
| Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 24% |
| 1H O/U 126.5 | 24% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Steals O/U 2.5 | 24% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Assists O/U 3.5 | 23% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 23% |
| Dyson Daniels: Steals O/U 2.5 | 23% |
| CJ McCollum: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 23% |
| 1Q O/U 61.5 | 23% |
| Wizards O/U 118.5 | 23% |
| Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 14.5 | 23% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 23% |
| O/U 242.5 | 22% |
| Trae Young: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| Aaron Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 22% |
| Spread -18.5 | 21% |
| Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 21% |
| Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 14.5 | 21% |
| Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 9.5 | 21% |
| Spread -3.5 | 20% |
| Anthony Davis: Assists O/U 2.5 | 20% |
| CJ McCollum: Points O/U 19.5 | 20% |
| CJ McCollum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 20% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 20% |
| 1H O/U 128.5 | 20% |
| Wizards O/U 120.5 | 20% |
| O/U 244.5 | 19% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 24.5 | 19% |
| AJ Dybantsa: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 19% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 19% |
| 1H Moneyline | 19% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 19% |
| Aaron Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 19% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 19.5 | 18% |
| Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 5.5 | 18% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 18% |
| Trae Young: Steals O/U 1.5 | 18% |
| Dyson Daniels: Steals O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| Luguentz Dort: Steals O/U 1.5 | 18% |
| Spread -20.5 | 17% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 17% |
| Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 7.5 | 17% |
| Bilal Coulibaly: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 17% |
| Spread -5.5 | 16% |
| O/U 246.5 | 16% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 19.5 | 16% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 15% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 15% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 15% |
| 1H O/U 130.5 | 15% |
| Wizards O/U 122.5 | 15% |
| Spread -22.5 | 14% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 11.5 | 14% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 14% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| CJ McCollum: Assists O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Luguentz Dort: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 14% |
| Aaron Wiggins: Assists O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| O/U 248.5 | 13% |
| Kingston Flemings: Points O/U 14.5 | 13% |
| Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 13% |
| Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 29.5 | 12% |
| Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 14.5 | 12% |
| 1H O/U 132.5 | 12% |
| Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 19.5 | 12% |
| Aaron Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| O/U 250.5 | 11% |
| Spread -24.5 | 11% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 29.5 | 11% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Assists O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| Kingston Flemings: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Kingston Flemings: Assists O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 11% |
| CJ McCollum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 11% |
| Luguentz Dort: Steals O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| Spread -9.5 | 9% |
| O/U 252.5 | 9% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 24.5 | 9% |
| Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 9% |
| Trae Young: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 9% |
| AJ Dybantsa: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 9% |
| Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 19.5 | 9% |
| Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 9.5 | 9% |
| Trae Young: Steals O/U 2.5 | 9% |
| CJ McCollum: Points O/U 24.5 | 9% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 7.5 | 9% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 9% |
| 1H O/U 134.5 | 9% |
| Spread -26.5 | 8% |
| Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 8% |
| CJ McCollum: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 8% |
| Spread -11.5 | 7% |
| O/U 254.5 | 7% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Points O/U 29.5 | 7% |
| Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 13.5 | 7% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 24.5 | 7% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Assists O/U 5.5 | 7% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 7% |
| Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 14.5 | 7% |
| Luguentz Dort: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 7% |
| Aaron Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 7% |
| Bilal Coulibaly: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 7% |
| O/U 256.5 | 6% |
| Spread -28.5 | 6% |
| CJ McCollum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 6% |
| O/U 258.5 | 5% |
| Spread -30.5 | 5% |
| Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 3.5 | 5% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 5% |
| Kingston Flemings: Points O/U 19.5 | 5% |
| Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 19.5 | 5% |
| CJ McCollum: Assists O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 5% |
| Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Spread -13.5 | 4% |
| Spread -34.5 | 4% |
| AJ Dybantsa: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 4% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 4% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 4% |
| Kingston Flemings: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 4% |
| Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 4% |
| Aaron Wiggins: Assists O/U 5.5 | 4% |
| AJ Dybantsa: Assists O/U 5.5 | 4% |
| Spread -15.5 | 3% |
| Spread -17.5 | 3% |
| Spread -32.5 | 3% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Assists O/U 7.5 | 3% |
| Luguentz Dort: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 3% |
| AJ Dybantsa: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 3% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 22.5 | 2% |
| Spread -21.5 | 2% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 21.5 | 2% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 2% |
| Spread -19.5 | 1% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 94% YES probability for Wizards vs. Hawks. In the upcoming NBA game between Wizards and Hawks, originally scheduled for Friday, November 6, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Wizards win, the m…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.3M.
Methodology
This page tracks Wizards vs. Hawks across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. For users geo-blocked from Polymarket directly, brokers like Trump Prediction provide a 0%-fee route into the same order book.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- What resolution source is used for elections?
- Polymarket defines the source per contract — usually Associated Press (AP Race Call), Reuters or the official electoral commission. The source is stated in contract details before the market opens.
- Can prediction markets influence election outcomes?
- Markets reflect expectations rather than create them. Studies show public-facing markets can anchor expectations, but don't influence the underlying outcome. Political markets are information, not advocacy.
- How fast do political markets react to news?
- High-liquidity markets move within seconds to minutes. A Trump tweet on the economy can shift the "Trump 2024" market 2-5 points before mainstream media has written anything.
- Are political prediction markets legal in my country?
- It varies. They sit in legal gray areas in most jurisdictions. Polymarket is geo-blocked from US/UK/EU; some broker frontends have a different geo footprint. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose, and only if you understand the legal status in your jurisdiction.
- Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
- Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
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