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Jaguars vs. Bengals

"Jaguars vs. Bengals" across the four most-traded political prediction venues — live data, regulatory notes, every CTA to Trump Prediction.

Jaguars vs. Bengals 100% O/U 30.5 100% O/U 32.5 100% O/U 34.5 100% Volume: $5.0M Closes: 4 Oct 2026
Open live market →
Jaguars vs. Bengals

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Trump Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Jaguars vs. Bengals100%
O/U 30.5100%
O/U 32.5100%
O/U 34.5100%
O/U 36.5100%
O/U 38.5100%
Spread -1.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
1H Spread -1.5100%
1H Spread -2.5100%
1H Spread -3.5100%
1H Spread -4.5100%
1H Spread -5.5100%
1H Spread -6.5100%
1H Spread -7.5100%
1H Spread -8.5100%
1H Spread -9.5100%
2H Spread -1.5100%
2H Spread -2.5100%
2H Spread -3.5100%
2H Spread -4.5100%
1Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q Spread -3.5100%
2Q Spread -4.5100%
2Q Spread -6.5100%
3Q Spread -2.5100%
3Q Spread -3.5100%
O/U 24.5100%
O/U 26.5100%
O/U 28.5100%
2H O/U 16.5100%
2H O/U 19.5100%
2H O/U 22.5100%
2Q O/U 5.5100%
2Q O/U 6.5100%
2Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
3Q O/U 5.5100%
3Q O/U 6.5100%
3Q O/U 7.5100%
4Q O/U 5.5100%
4Q O/U 6.5100%
4Q O/U 7.5100%
4Q O/U 10.5100%
Jaguars O/U 10.5100%
Jaguars O/U 12.5100%
Jaguars O/U 13.5100%
Jaguars O/U 16.5100%
Jaguars O/U 19.5100%
Jaguars O/U 20.5100%
Bengals O/U 10.5100%
Bengals O/U 12.5100%
Bengals O/U 13.5100%
Bengals O/U 16.5100%
Jaguars 1H O/U 6.5100%
Jaguars 1H O/U 10.5100%
Jaguars 1H O/U 12.5100%
Jaguars 2H O/U 6.5100%
Bengals 2H O/U 6.5100%
Bengals 2H O/U 10.5100%
Bengals 2H O/U 12.5100%
Bengals 2H O/U 13.5100%
Exact Margin: Jaguars by 1-6100%
Team to Record Longest FG100%
Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q100%
Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q100%
Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q100%
Bengals Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5100%
1H Moneyline100%
1Q Moneyline100%
2Q Moneyline100%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -6.50%
O/U 47.50%
O/U 48.50%
O/U 50.50%
O/U 51.50%
O/U 54.50%
O/U 40.50%
O/U 42.50%
O/U 44.50%
O/U 46.50%
O/U 52.50%
O/U 56.50%
O/U 58.50%
O/U 60.50%
O/U 62.50%
O/U 64.50%
O/U 66.50%
O/U 68.50%
O/U 70.50%
O/U 49.50%
O/U 53.50%
2H Moneyline0%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -9.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -19.50%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -21.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -9.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -19.50%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -21.50%
1H Spread -10.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Spread -14.50%
1H Spread -16.50%
1H Spread -17.50%
1H Spread -20.50%
1H Spread -21.50%
1H Spread -1.50%
1H Spread -2.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
1H Spread -4.50%
1H Spread -5.50%
1H Spread -6.50%
1H Spread -7.50%
1H Spread -8.50%
1H Spread -9.50%
1H Spread -10.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Spread -14.50%
1H Spread -16.50%
1H Spread -17.50%
1H Spread -20.50%
1H Spread -21.50%
2H Spread -1.50%
2H Spread -2.50%
2H Spread -3.50%
2H Spread -4.50%
2H Spread -5.50%
2H Spread -6.50%
2H Spread -7.50%
2H Spread -8.50%
2H Spread -9.50%
2H Spread -10.50%
2H Spread -13.50%
2H Spread -14.50%
2H Spread -16.50%
2H Spread -17.50%
2H Spread -20.50%
2H Spread -21.50%
2H Spread -5.50%
2H Spread -6.50%
2H Spread -7.50%
2H Spread -8.50%
2H Spread -9.50%
2H Spread -10.50%
2H Spread -13.50%
2H Spread -14.50%
2H Spread -16.50%
2H Spread -17.50%
2H Spread -20.50%
2H Spread -21.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -6.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -9.50%
1Q Spread -10.50%
1Q Spread -13.50%
1Q Spread -14.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -6.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -9.50%
1Q Spread -10.50%
1Q Spread -13.50%
1Q Spread -14.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -9.50%
2Q Spread -10.50%
2Q Spread -13.50%
2Q Spread -14.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -4.50%
2Q Spread -6.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -9.50%
2Q Spread -10.50%
2Q Spread -13.50%
2Q Spread -14.50%
3Q Spread -2.50%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q Spread -4.50%
3Q Spread -6.50%
3Q Spread -7.50%
3Q Spread -9.50%
3Q Spread -10.50%
3Q Spread -13.50%
3Q Spread -14.50%
3Q Spread -4.50%
3Q Spread -6.50%
3Q Spread -7.50%
3Q Spread -9.50%
3Q Spread -10.50%
3Q Spread -13.50%
3Q Spread -14.50%
4Q Spread -2.50%
4Q Spread -3.50%
4Q Spread -4.50%
4Q Spread -6.50%
4Q Spread -7.50%
4Q Spread -9.50%
4Q Spread -10.50%
4Q Spread -13.50%
4Q Spread -14.50%
4Q Spread -2.50%
4Q Spread -3.50%
4Q Spread -4.50%
4Q Spread -6.50%
4Q Spread -7.50%
4Q Spread -9.50%
4Q Spread -10.50%
4Q Spread -13.50%
4Q Spread -14.50%
1H O/U 16.50%
1H O/U 19.50%
1H O/U 22.50%
1H O/U 25.50%
1H O/U 28.50%
2H O/U 25.50%
2H O/U 28.50%
1Q O/U 5.50%
1Q O/U 6.50%
1Q O/U 7.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 14.50%
2Q O/U 13.50%
2Q O/U 14.50%
3Q O/U 10.50%
3Q O/U 13.50%
3Q O/U 14.50%
4Q O/U 13.50%
4Q O/U 14.50%
Jaguars O/U 23.50%
Jaguars O/U 26.50%
Jaguars O/U 27.50%
Jaguars O/U 30.50%
Jaguars O/U 34.50%
Bengals O/U 19.50%
Bengals O/U 20.50%
Bengals O/U 23.50%
Bengals O/U 26.50%
Bengals O/U 27.50%
Bengals O/U 30.50%
Bengals O/U 34.50%
Jaguars 1H O/U 13.50%
Jaguars 1H O/U 16.50%
Jaguars 1H O/U 17.50%
Jaguars 1H O/U 19.50%
Jaguars 1H O/U 20.50%
Bengals 1H O/U 6.50%
Bengals 1H O/U 10.50%
Bengals 1H O/U 12.50%
Bengals 1H O/U 13.50%
Bengals 1H O/U 16.50%
Bengals 1H O/U 17.50%
Bengals 1H O/U 19.50%
Bengals 1H O/U 20.50%
Jaguars 2H O/U 10.50%
Jaguars 2H O/U 12.50%
Jaguars 2H O/U 13.50%
Jaguars 2H O/U 16.50%
Jaguars 2H O/U 17.50%
Jaguars 2H O/U 19.50%
Jaguars 2H O/U 20.50%
Bengals 2H O/U 16.50%
Bengals 2H O/U 17.50%
Bengals 2H O/U 19.50%
Bengals 2H O/U 20.50%
Exact Margin: Jaguars by 25+0%
Exact Margin: Jaguars by 19-240%
Exact Margin: Jaguars by 13-180%
Exact Margin: Jaguars by 7-120%
Exact Margin: Tie0%
Exact Margin: Bengals by 1-60%
Exact Margin: Bengals by 7-130%
Exact Margin: Bengals by 14-200%
Exact Margin: Bengals by 21+0%
Safety?0%
Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q0%
Jaguars Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.50%
Jaguars vs. Bengals: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.50%
Jaguars Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.50%
Bengals Total Touchdowns: O/U 3.50%
3Q Moneyline0%
4Q Moneyline0%

Market context

Jaguars vs. Bengals — current market-implied probability: 100%. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 1:00PM ET: If Jaguars wins, the market will resolve to "Jaguars". If Bengals wins, the market will resolve to "Bengals". If the game is postponed, …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Jaguars vs. Bengals at 100% for "Jaguars vs. Bengals".

Jaguars vs. Bengals 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $5.0M.

Methodology

This page tracks Jaguars vs. Bengals across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. For users geo-blocked from Polymarket directly, brokers like Trump Prediction provide a 0%-fee route into the same order book.

Resolution & payout

Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

How accurate are political prediction markets?
Historically more accurate than polls. Polymarket's Brier score on US 2024 elections was ~0.11 — better than 538 (~0.14) and every mainstream poll. Markets aggregate information with real skin in the game.
What resolution source is used for elections?
Polymarket defines the source per contract — usually Associated Press (AP Race Call), Reuters or the official electoral commission. The source is stated in contract details before the market opens.
How fast do political markets react to news?
High-liquidity markets move within seconds to minutes. A Trump tweet on the economy can shift the "Trump 2024" market 2-5 points before mainstream media has written anything.
Are political prediction markets legal in my country?
It varies. They sit in legal gray areas in most jurisdictions. Polymarket is geo-blocked from US/UK/EU; some broker frontends have a different geo footprint. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose, and only if you understand the legal status in your jurisdiction.
Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
Sarah MitchellSarah MitchellPolitical Markets WriterandJames WilliamsJames WilliamsPrediction Market Analyst

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