Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Paris: Katie Volynets vs Yulia Starodubtseva | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Paris: Katie Volynets vs Yulia Starodubtseva Set 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Paris: Katie Volynets vs Yulia Starodubtseva Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Paris: Katie Volynets vs Yulia Starodubtseva Match O/U 21.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Paris: Katie Volynets vs Yulia Starodubtseva Match O/U 22.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
This market refers to the tennis match between Katie Volynets and Yulia Starodubtseva in the Paris, originally scheduled for May 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Katie Volynets' if Katie Volynets advances against Yulia Starodubtseva. This market will resolve to 'Yulia Starodubtseva' if Yulia Starodubtseva advances against Katie Volynets. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determin
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Paris: Katie Volynets vs Yulia Starodubtseva plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Paris: Katie Volynets vs Yulia Starodubtseva on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on PolyGram →