Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Tom Gentzsch vs Roman Safiullin

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Tom Gentzsch and Roman Safiullin met in Roland Garros qualifying, with the available live scorecards showing Safiullin prevailing in a completed three-set match. That makes the market’s 0% YES price straightforward to read: once the result is in, the only remaining question is whether the settlement terms have been triggered by an official completion, cancellation, or unusual interruption. In comparable tennis match markets, the price tends to collapse to zero only when the fixture has been played out and the winner is no longer in dispute.

For traders, the key catalyst is the official match status rather than any wider tournament narrative. Live tennis trackers including Flashscore, Sofascore and myKhel all list the contest as completed, which is usually enough for the market to settle once the result is confirmed against the tournament’s records. The main dependency now is whether the organiser’s published scoreline matches those feeds before the settlement window closes. If the match had been abandoned or left unfinished, the 50-50 fallback would have mattered; as it stands, the market is leaning entirely on the completed result reported by the live score sources.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Tom Gentzsch vs Roman Safiullin plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.

Resolution & payout

For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.