About the author
Sarah Whitfield is Markets Editor at PolyGram with a focus on political prediction markets. She has tracked election forecasting since the 2020 US presidential cycle and specialises in benchmarking Polymarket-implied probability against polling aggregators and election-model outputs.
Sarah's beat covers US presidential and congressional contracts, UK parliamentary markets, and major EU election cycles. She analyses how market prices move on debate performance, endorsements, and breaking campaign developments — and where prediction markets lead or lag traditional polling.
Before PolyGram, Sarah covered Westminster politics for a UK national daily. She holds an MA in International Relations.
Areas of expertise
Political ForecastingElection MarketsUS PoliticsUK PoliticsPollingPrediction Markets
Recent articles by Sarah Whitfield
Polymarket vs Betfair: Which is Better for Prediction Markets?
1 April 2026Polymarket vs Betfair
Polymarket Election Markets: Complete Trader's Guide 2025
1 April 2026Polymarket election markets
What Are Prediction Markets? A Complete Guide for 2026
28 April 2026what are prediction markets
Understanding Prediction Market Odds and Probability
28 April 2026prediction market odds
Understanding Liquidity in Prediction Markets
1 May 2026prediction market liquidity
Prediction Market Taxes: What You Need to Know
1 May 2026prediction market taxes
How to Withdraw from Prediction Markets: Step-by-Step
1 May 2026how to withdraw prediction markets
YES and NO Shares in Prediction Markets: What They Mean and How to Trade Them
1 May 2026yes no shares prediction market
Best Sports Prediction Market App 2026: Trade NFL, NBA, Soccer & More
1 May 2026sports prediction market app
Trump 2028 Prediction Market: Why He Can't Run & What Markets Are Active
1 May 2026trump 2028 prediction market
Crypto Prediction Markets 2026: Bitcoin, Ethereum & Altcoin Forecasting Guide
1 May 2026crypto prediction market
Sports Betting ROI vs Prediction Markets: Which Is More Profitable Long-Term?
1 May 2026sports betting vs prediction market ROI
Polymarket Alternative for US Users: Trade Prediction Markets Without a VPN
1 May 2026polymarket alternative USA
Conditional Prediction Markets Explained: How Nested Forecasts Work
1 May 2026conditional prediction markets
Federal Reserve Rate Decision Prediction Markets: Trade FOMC Outcomes in 2026
1 May 2026federal reserve prediction market
SEC Crypto Ruling Prediction Markets: Bitcoin ETF, Ethereum Status & More
1 May 2026SEC crypto prediction market
Prediction Market Tax Guide 2026: US, UK, Germany & Global Overview
1 May 2026prediction market tax guide 2026
Building a Prediction Market Portfolio: Diversification & Risk Strategy 2026
2 May 2026prediction market portfolio strategy
2028 Presidential Election Prediction Markets: Early Republican & Democratic Odds
2 May 20262028 presidential election prediction market
Is Polymarket Legit? Safety, Security & Legitimacy in 2026
2 May 2026is polymarket legit
Prediction Market Best Practices 2026: Professional Trader Checklist
2 May 2026prediction market best practices
Science & Technology Prediction Markets 2026: Space, AI & Biotech Milestones
2 May 2026science technology prediction market 2026
Prediction Market Returns Calculator: How Much Can You Make on Each Trade?
2 May 2026prediction market returns calculator
How to Deposit USDC on Polymarket/PolyGram: The Fastest 2026 Methods
2 May 2026polymarket deposit USDC 2026
Autonomous Vehicle & Robotaxi Prediction Markets 2026: Tesla, Waymo & Level 5 Odds
2 May 2026autonomous vehicle prediction market 2026
Are Prediction Markets Gambling? Legal & Academic Perspective 2026
2 May 2026are prediction markets gambling
Winter Sports Prediction Markets 2026: Skiing, Snowboarding & Ice Sports
2 May 2026winter sports prediction market 2026
Using the Polymarket Data API: Real-Time Prediction Market Data for Developers
2 May 2026polymarket data API developer
La Liga Prediction Markets 2025/26: Real Madrid, Barcelona & Title Race Odds
2 May 2026la liga prediction market 2026