Bitcoin price on June 22?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is the final closing price of the one-minute Binance candle for BTC/USDT at noon Eastern Time on 22 June 2026, a precise technical snapshot that determines market resolution. Current crowd-implied probability of 0% for the "No" outcome reflects a near-total consensus that the price will fall within a defined range, specifically the leading bracket of £64,000–£66,000, which Polymarket traders assign a 100% chance to [1]. Historically, similar prediction markets for mid-2026 crypto prices have shown that when a single price bracket dominates with 100% probability, the market is effectively pricing in a stable trading range rather than extreme volatility, as seen in comparable 2024–2025 Bitcoin price forecasts where dominant brackets rarely shifted unless major regulatory shocks occurred [5][7].

Traders should monitor scheduled Federal Reserve interest rate declarations on 23 June 2026, which could trigger immediate volatility in crypto assets, alongside any campaign-finance disclosures from major US political figures regarding cryptocurrency holdings expected in late June [5]. The market is leaning heavily on the catalyst of the Fed's monetary policy stance, as recent technical analysis from Binance indicates Bitcoin is ignoring global rallies and targeting a lower zone of £54,000–£56,000, suggesting a potential divergence from the current 100% consensus if the Fed signals rate hikes [8]. A recent Binance market update confirms BTC is trading between £63,270 and £64,824, reinforcing the current leading bracket but leaving room for a sharp drop if regulatory uncertainty intensifies [6].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Bitcoin price on June 22? plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.

Resolution & payout

Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Trump Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Trump Prediction?

Zero. Trump Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.