Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trump Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Trump Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 0% SPARTA | 100% GenOne |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% SPARTA | 0% GenOne |
| Match Winner | 0% SPARTA | 100% GenOne |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5) | 0% SPARTA | 100% GenOne |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
Market context
SPARTA and GenOne are scheduled to compete in a Counter-Strike best-of-three match on 12 June as part of the CCT Europe Series #4 group stage. The fixture forms part of a broader European regional competition that determines qualification pathways for larger international tournaments. The 0% implied probability reflects either extremely limited trading volume or a technical issue with market initialisation, as both teams possess documented competitive records in European Counter-Strike circuits and the match carries standard scheduling certainty.
Historical precedent from CCT Europe tournaments shows group-stage matches between established regional competitors typically proceed as scheduled, with forfeits or cancellations occurring in fewer than 5% of fixtures. SPARTA has competed consistently in European qualifiers with mixed results, whilst GenOne represents a roster with variable performance across recent seasons. The low probability reading appears disconnected from baseline expectations for match completion, suggesting traders should treat this as a liquidity or data-entry anomaly rather than genuine confidence in either outcome.
Catalysts affecting resolution centre on team roster confirmations and any last-minute scheduling adjustments announced by CCT organisers. Traders should monitor official CCT Europe communications and team social media in the 48 hours preceding the 10:00 AM ET start time for withdrawal announcements or fixture changes. The settlement window closes at 20:15 UTC on 12 June, providing a defined window for match completion. Any technical disruptions during play or unexpected forfeiture declarations would trigger the tie-resolution clause, making match integrity and team availability the primary variables determining outcome.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Trump Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Trump Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Trump Prediction?
- Zero. Trump Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Trump Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe … on Trump Prediction
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