Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trump Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Trump Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% Team Spirit | 0% Enjoy |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Any Player Rampage | 10% YES | 91% NO |
| Ends in Daytime | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
The underlying event is a Dota 2 Upper bracket quarterfinal match between Team Spirit and Enjoy, scheduled for 14:00 UTC on 23 June 2026 during The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs. Team Spirit, a former World Champion with a dominant CIS Upper Division pedigree, faces Enjoy, whose recent form includes a narrow 2:1 loss to L1GA TEAM in early June [3][4]. The market’s current 100% YES crowd-implied probability for Team Spirit mirrors historical patterns where established titans with deep tournament experience overwhelmingly defeat emerging qualifiers in high-stakes BO3s, particularly when the latter lack comparable head-to-head records against elite opposition [4][7].
Traders should monitor the live score feed on Sofascore and GosuGamers for any pre-match delays or roster anomalies, as the settlement window hinges on the match beginning and completing without cancellation [1][2]. The primary catalyst is the scheduled start time of 14:00 UTC; any deviation beyond seven days without a winner would trigger a 50-50 resolution, though no such delays have been reported by Liquipedia or Hawk Live [4][6]. While Enjoy’s recent competitive activity suggests readiness, Team Spirit’s superior draft flexibility and past success against top-tier teams like OG and Team Liquid position them as the near-certain victor, making the market lean heavily on Team Spirit’s established dominance rather than speculative Enjoy momentum [5][7].
Methodology
This page tracks Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Enjoy (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. Trump Prediction routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Trump Prediction?
- Zero. Trump Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Trump Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Enjoy (BO3) - The Internation… on Trump Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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