Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trump Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Trump Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 0% BOMBA Team | 100% Anubis Gaming |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Game Handicap: ANB (-1.5) vs BOMBA Team (+1.5) | 100% Anubis Gaming | 0% BOMBA Team |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
BOMBA Team and Anubis Gaming are scheduled to compete in a League of Legends best-of-three elimination match within EMEA Masters Group D on 11 June 2026 at 14:00 ET. The winner advances in the tournament structure whilst the loser is eliminated from Group D contention. The 0% implied probability for BOMBA Team suggests the market has settled on Anubis Gaming as the heavy favourite, though the absence of recent roster changes or performance data in public sources makes this assessment difficult to validate independently.
EMEA Masters operates as a secondary competitive league feeding into broader European League of Legends infrastructure. Historical precedent from similar regional tournaments shows that elimination matches rarely produce upsets when one team enters with established favouritism, particularly in best-of-three formats where consistency matters. Teams that qualify for elimination stages typically demonstrate measurable skill gaps reflected in group-stage performance. The current probability distribution implies Anubis Gaming either finished significantly ahead in group play or possesses demonstrably stronger individual player matchups.
Traders should monitor official EMEA Masters scheduling confirmations as the settlement window approaches, given the 7-day delay clause in resolution criteria. Patch changes to League of Legends between now and the match date could alter champion viability and preparation requirements. Team announcements regarding roster substitutions or coaching adjustments would provide concrete information currently absent from the market context. Livestream availability through Riot Games' official channels will confirm match completion and determine settlement eligibility.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Trump Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Trump Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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