US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?
Yes 50%
No 50%
Vol. $89.7M
Politics prediction market · Vol. $25.9M
| April 15 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| April 16 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| April 17 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| April 18 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| April 22 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| April 30 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for exampl
The Polymarket market "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?" is currently trading at 0% YES. This means thousands of traders worldwide estimate the probability of this outcome at 0%.
These prices are generated by real capital (USDC) on the Polygon network — not by bookmaker margins. They reflect the aggregated collective judgement of informed market participants.
Prediction markets like this one let informed participants put real money behind their views. Politics markets on Polymarket are characterised by deep liquidity and fast resolution. This market closes on 30 April 2026 with automatic USDC settlement.
How do I trade this market? Visit PolyGram, create an account, deposit USDC, and buy YES or NO shares. Trading takes minutes.
What happens at resolution? USDC payouts are automatically processed via smart contract on Polygon — typically within minutes of the event resolving.
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Live data from Polymarket · updated hourly