United States vs. Paraguay - Total Corners

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The United States will face Paraguay in a FIFA World Cup group-stage match on 12 June 2026, with the settlement contingent on total corner kicks awarded during the 90-minute fixture. The current market probability of 39% for "YES" suggests traders expect fewer than a specified threshold—likely eight or nine corners combined—reflecting expectations of a relatively controlled, lower-intensity encounter.

Historical World Cup group-stage matches between nations of comparable ranking show corner totals clustering between six and twelve, depending heavily on tactical setup and possession dominance. The USMNT's recent Copa América and World Cup qualifiers averaged 7.2 corners per match when facing mid-table South American opposition; Paraguay's defensive approach in qualifying produced matches averaging 6.8 corners. These baselines suggest the market's lean towards under-threshold outcomes aligns with precedent, though the probability remains competitive rather than decisive.

Traders should monitor team news releases and tactical previews from official FIFA channels in the week preceding the match. Paraguay's squad composition and any late injury announcements to key defensive players could shift corner expectations materially, as could confirmation of the USMNT's attacking personnel. Weather conditions at the venue—wind and pitch conditions affect crossing frequency—will become clearer only days before kick-off. The settlement window closes at 01:00 UTC on 13 June, allowing roughly five hours post-match for official corner tallies to be confirmed by FIFA.

Methodology

This page tracks United States vs. Paraguay - Total Corners across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. Trump Prediction routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Trump Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Trump Prediction?

Zero. Trump Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Trump Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.