Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trump Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
23% | 77% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
23% | 77% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Trump Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev | 23% Flavio Cobolli | 78% Alexander Zverev |
| Completed Match | 84% YES | 17% NO |
| Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Set 1 Winner | 32% Cobolli | 68% Zverev |
| Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 79% Over | 21% Under |
| Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Match O/U 36.5 | 56% Over | 45% Under |
| Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 60% Over 3.5 | 41% Under 3.5 |
Market context
The Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev prediction market currently prices this outcome at 23% YES. This market refers to the tennis match between Flavio Cobolli and Alexander Zverev in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for June 7, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Flavio Co…
Methodology
This page tracks Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. Trump Prediction routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Trump Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Trump Prediction?
- Zero. Trump Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Trump Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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