Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trump Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Trump Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Mallorca Championships: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 0% Grigor Dimitrov | 100% Alejandro Davidovich Fokina |
| Mallorca Championships: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Mallorca Championships: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match O/U 21.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Mallorca Championships: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Set 1 Winner | 0% Dimitrov | 100% Fokina |
| Mallorca Championships: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% Over 2.5 | 100% Under 2.5 |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 0% YES probability for Mallorca Championships: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. This market refers to the tennis match between Grigor Dimitrov and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the Mallorca Championships, originally scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will re…
Methodology
This page tracks Mallorca Championships: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. Trump Prediction routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Trump Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Trump Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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