Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trump Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Trump Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-2.5) vs AM Gaming (+2.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 51% YES | 49% NO |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-2.5) vs AM Gaming (+2.5) | 52% YES | 48% NO |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-2.5) vs AM Gaming (+2.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
Market consensus: 50% chance of counter-strike: am gaming vs ex-ruby (bo3) - cct europe series 3 playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 16 match between AM Gaming and ex-RUBY in the CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 4 at 1:00PM ET. This market…
Methodology
This page tracks Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. Trump Prediction routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Trump Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Trump Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Eur… on Trump Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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