Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trump Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Trump Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 0% Astralis | 100% 9z |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5) | 100% 9z | 0% Astralis |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5) | 0% Astralis | 100% 9z |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5) | 0% Astralis | 100% 9z |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 0% probability to counter-strike: astralis vs 9z (bo1) - iem cologne major stage 2. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between Astralis and 9z in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 6 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Astralis" i…
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Trump Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Trump Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne M… on Trump Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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