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Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Group B

"Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Group B" — live political-market odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Keyd 100% Yawara Esports 0% Volume: $197K Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 25 Jun 2026
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Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Trump Prediction Pick
polygram.ink
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Trump Prediction →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Trump Prediction →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Trump Prediction →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Trump Prediction →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Trump Prediction →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Trump Prediction.

Active sub-markets

Match Winner100% Keyd0% Yawara Esports
O/U 2.5 Games0% Over100% Under
Map Handicap: YAW (-1.5) vs Keyd (+1.5)0% Yawara Esports100% Keyd
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100% Over0% Under
Map 1 Winner100% Keyd0% Yawara Esports
Map 2 Winner100% Keyd0% Yawara Esports

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of counter-strike: keyd vs yawara esports (bo3) - thunderpick world championship south american series #1 group b. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Keyd and Yawara Esports in the Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Group B, initially scheduled for June …

Methodology

Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Group B plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.

Resolution & payout

For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does it cost to trade on Trump Prediction?
Zero. Trump Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Trump Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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