Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trump Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Trump Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% Spirit | 0% MIBR |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs MIBR (+6.5) | 100% Spirit | 0% MIBR |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-9.5) vs MIBR (+9.5) | 100% Spirit | 0% MIBR |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
Market context
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between Spirit and MIBR in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 6 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if S…
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Trump Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What does it cost to trade on Trump Prediction?
- Zero. Trump Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Trump Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne M… on Trump Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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