Norway vs. Senegal - Exact Score

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Norway meet Senegal in their World Cup group opener at MetLife Stadium, with kick-off listed for 8:00 PM local time on 22 June and a FIFA match centre entry showing 00:00 UTC on 23 June. The market’s 8% crowd-implied chance for the exact score points to a low-frequency outcome, because exact-score markets are usually dominated by the most common narrow wins and draws rather than upset-friendly scorelines or higher-margin results.

The cleanest historical frame is the only previous meeting between the sides, a Senegal 2-1 win in a 2006 friendly, which is the kind of result that can anchor trader expectations without saying much about a World Cup context nearly two decades later. Norway’s recent pre-match messaging has centred on training clips and player readiness, while FIFA’s match pages and stadium listings are the hard schedule signals to watch; if line-ups, late injury news, or any formal team announcements shift expectations for tempo or defensive shape, that is the most likely catalyst for movement rather than anything in the broader calendar.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page tracks Norway vs. Senegal - Exact Score across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. Trump Prediction routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Trump Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Trump Prediction?

Zero. Trump Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.