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Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jurij Rodionov

"Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jurij Rodionov" across the four most-traded political prediction venues — live data, regulatory notes, every CTA to Trump Prediction.

100% YES 0% NO Volume: $119K Liquidity: $165K Closes: 14 Jun 2026
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Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jurij Rodionov

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Trump Prediction Pick
polygram.ink
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Trump Prediction →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Trump Prediction →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Trump Prediction →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Trump Prediction →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Trump Prediction →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Trump Prediction.

Active sub-markets

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, stuttgart open, qualification: sho shimabukuro vs jurij rodionov stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Sho Shimabukuro and Jurij Rodionov in the Stuttgart Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for June 7, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This ma…

Methodology

Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jurij Rodionov plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.

Resolution & payout

For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On Trump Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does it cost to trade on Trump Prediction?
Zero. Trump Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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