Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trump Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Trump Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Mallorca Championships: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Nuno Borges | 0% Jan-Lennard Struff | 100% Nuno Borges |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Mallorca Championships: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Nuno Borges Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% Over 2.5 | 100% Under 2.5 |
| Mallorca Championships: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Nuno Borges Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Mallorca Championships: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Nuno Borges Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Mallorca Championships: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Nuno Borges Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% Struff | 100% Borges |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 0% YES probability for Mallorca Championships: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Nuno Borges. This market refers to the tennis match between Jan-Lennard Struff and Nuno Borges in the Mallorca Championships, originally scheduled for June 23, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan-…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $163K.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Mallorca Championships: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Nuno Borges plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Trump Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Trump Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Trump Prediction?
- Zero. Trump Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
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