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Clube do Remo vs. CA Mineiro - More Markets

"Clube do Remo vs. CA Mineiro - More Markets" — live political-market odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% O/U 3.5 100% Volume: $95K Liquidity: $418K Closes: 8 Aug 2026
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Clube do Remo vs. CA Mineiro - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Trump Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
O/U 3.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
Both Teams to Score in First Half100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 1.5100%
1st Half O/U 2.5100%
Clube do Remo O/U 0.5100%
Clube do Remo O/U 1.5100%
CA Mineiro O/U 0.5100%
CA Mineiro O/U 1.5100%
Clube do Remo 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
CA Mineiro 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
CA Mineiro 1st Half O/U 1.5100%
Clube do Remo 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Clube do Remo O/U 2.51%
CA Mineiro O/U 2.51%
2nd Half O/U 1.51%
2nd Half O/U 2.51%
Clube do Remo 2nd Half O/U 1.51%
CA Mineiro 2nd Half O/U 0.51%
CA Mineiro 2nd Half O/U 1.51%
Clube do Remo (-1.5)0%
CA Mineiro (-1.5)0%
Clube do Remo (-2.5)0%
CA Mineiro (-2.5)0%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Clube do Remo 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%

Market context

Clube do Remo’s Série A match against Atlético Mineiro has already been settled, and the market’s 0% YES is consistent with a completed game outcome rather than an open contest. Live boxscores and odds pages show Atlético Mineiro winning 2-1, with pre-match pricing treating the visitors as slight favourites and the total goals line centred near 2.5, which is the sort of baseline traders usually start from when reading a narrow football market.[14][16][18]

For historical framing, comparable pre-match models on the fixture pointed to a close game with modest but real away-team edge: one aggregator put Atlético Mineiro at roughly 41% to win, Remo at about 29%, and the draw near 30%, while another market snapshot had the visitors around 44% and Remo also around 44% with a low draw share, underscoring how tight the setup was before kick-off.[12][2] That kind of spread usually leaves little room for an extreme more-markets outcome unless the match produces an early red card, an unusually fast goal sequence, or a late tactical collapse.

The main catalyst traders would have watched was the match itself, alongside any late line-up news and market-moving odds revisions in the hours before 5:30 pm ET.[17][9] Recent odds pages and prediction feeds leaned on standard football inputs rather than off-pitch developments, so the decisive driver here was always likely to be the scoreline path inside the game, not external announcements.[8][19]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page tracks Clube do Remo vs. CA Mineiro - More Markets across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. For users geo-blocked from Polymarket directly, brokers like Trump Prediction provide a 0%-fee route into the same order book.

Resolution & payout

For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

How accurate are political prediction markets?
Historically more accurate than polls. Polymarket's Brier score on US 2024 elections was ~0.11 — better than 538 (~0.14) and every mainstream poll. Markets aggregate information with real skin in the game.
Which platform has the deepest political liquidity?
Polymarket — by far. US 2024 presidential volume was ~$3.5B vs Kalshi (~$200M) and Betfair (~$120M). Where Polymarket is geo-blocked, brokers like Trump Prediction route into the same order book at 0% fees.
How fast do political markets react to news?
High-liquidity markets move within seconds to minutes. A Trump tweet on the economy can shift the "Trump 2024" market 2-5 points before mainstream media has written anything.
Are political prediction markets legal in my country?
It varies. They sit in legal gray areas in most jurisdictions. Polymarket is geo-blocked from US/UK/EU; some broker frontends have a different geo footprint. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose, and only if you understand the legal status in your jurisdiction.
Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
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