Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trump Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Trump Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Total Corners: O/U 11.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 8.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 13.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 9.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 7.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 4.5 | 24% Over | 76% Under |
Market context
Korea Republic will face Czechia in a FIFA World Cup group-stage match on 11 June 2026, with settlement determined by total corner kicks awarded during the 90-minute fixture. The current market probability of 1% for YES suggests traders are pricing an extremely low likelihood of a specific corner threshold being met, though the exact numerical trigger is not specified in the available market parameters.
Historical World Cup corner distributions show considerable variance by opponent pairing and tactical setup. Group-stage matches involving European sides typically generate 8–14 corners on average, whilst Asian teams often produce lower corner counts when defending against European opposition. Korea Republic's recent qualifying campaign featured matches with corner totals ranging from 5 to 11, depending on opponent pressing intensity and possession dominance. Czechia's qualifying record showed similar volatility, with corner counts sensitive to whether they controlled play or absorbed pressure. The 1% probability currently priced suggests the market is anchored to either an unusually high threshold (15+ corners) or reflects minimal liquidity and wide bid-ask spreads rather than confident directional conviction.
Traders monitoring this market should track team sheet confirmations and any late tactical adjustments announced in the 48 hours before kickoff. Pitch conditions at the venue and referee assignment—which influences how strictly corner-kick decisions are adjudicated—remain unconfirmed variables. Weather forecasts for the match location will also affect ball movement and defensive positioning, both of which correlate with corner frequency. The settlement window closes at 02:00 UTC on 12 June, allowing only post-match verification with no opportunity for live adjustment.
Methodology
This page tracks Korea Republic vs. Czechia - Total Corners across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. Trump Prediction routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Trump Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Trump Prediction?
- Zero. Trump Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Trump Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Korea Republic vs. Czechia - Total Corners on Trump Prediction
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