Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trump Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Trump Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 0% EDward Gaming Youth Team | 100% CTBC Flying Oyster Academy |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Game Handicap: EDGY (-1.5) vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (+1.5) | 0% EDward Gaming Youth Team | 100% CTBC Flying Oyster Academy |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% YES | 51% NO |
Market context
EDward Gaming Youth Team face CTBC Flying Oyster Academy in a League of Legends best-of-three elimination match within Asia Masters Group A, with the fixture scheduled for 10 June 2026 at 06:00 ET. The 0% implied probability reflects either missing historical data on these specific rosters or an expectation that one team holds overwhelming competitive advantage in the current regional standings.
Youth-level competitive League of Legends in Asia has historically favoured established organisations with deeper infrastructure and player development pipelines. EDward Gaming, as a Chinese organisation, typically fields squads with access to larger talent pools and coaching resources compared to regional competitors from Taiwan or Southeast Asia. CTBC Flying Oyster Academy represents the Taiwanese circuit, where competitive depth varies considerably across seasons. Historical matchups between Chinese youth teams and Taiwanese academy sides have skewed towards Chinese representation, though individual tournament performance depends heavily on current roster composition, recent scrim results, and meta alignment at the time of play.
Traders should monitor official Asia Masters scheduling announcements for any postponements or cancellations, as the settlement window extends only seven days beyond the scheduled date. Recent roster changes, player transfers during the off-season, and performance in preliminary group matches will signal shifting competitive balance. Injury reports or substitute player deployments immediately before the match could alter expected outcomes. The current probability assignment suggests market participants either lack confidence data on these specific squads or have already priced in a decisive favourite based on available team information from regional qualifying rounds.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia Masters Group A plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Trump Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Trump Prediction?
- Zero. Trump Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Trump Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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