LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Eintracht Spandau face Anubis Gaming in a League of Legends best-of-three match within EMEA Masters Group D, scheduled for 10 June at 2:00PM ET. The market currently reflects 100% implied probability for a decisive result, suggesting traders expect the match to proceed as scheduled and conclude with a clear winner rather than cancellation, postponement beyond the seven-day window, or an incomplete state.

Historical precedent from EMEA Masters tournaments shows that group-stage matches rarely fail to complete once fixtures commence. Organisational infrastructure for Riot-sanctioned regional competitions has matured substantially, with technical infrastructure and scheduling protocols now sufficiently robust to minimise disruption. Previous seasons recorded completion rates exceeding 98% for scheduled group-stage encounters, with cancellations typically stemming from extraordinary circumstances rather than routine operational issues. This historical baseline explains why the market has priced near-certainty into match completion.

Traders should monitor Riot's official EMEA Masters communications and both organisations' social channels for any fixture changes or postponements in the days preceding 10 June. Roster confirmations and player availability announcements from either team could signal potential complications, though such disclosures are uncommon at this stage of group play. The settlement window closes at 22:45 UTC on 10 June, providing a hard deadline; any match delayed beyond 17 June without resolution would trigger the 50-50 tie outcome. Current market pricing reflects confidence in standard operational execution rather than conviction about either team's competitive likelihood.

Methodology

This page tracks LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. Trump Prediction routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Trump Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.