Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trump Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
70% | 30% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
70% | 30% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Trump Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Game 1 Winner | 70% Team Secret Whales | 31% Deep Cross Gaming |
| Game 2 Winner | 65% Team Secret Whales | 35% Deep Cross Gaming |
| Game 3 Winner | 65% Team Secret Whales | 35% Deep Cross Gaming |
| Game 4 Winner | 44% Team Secret Whales | 56% Deep Cross Gaming |
| Match Winner | 76% Team Secret Whales | 25% Deep Cross Gaming |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 64% Over | 36% Under |
Market context
Team Secret Whales will face Deep Cross Gaming in the League of Legends Championship Pro (LCP) Playoffs grand final on 7 June 2026, with the match scheduled for 5:00 AM ET. The best-of-five format determines the regional champion and qualification pathway for international competition. The current 70% implied probability favours Team Secret Whales, reflecting their positioning as the stronger favourite heading into the decisive matchup.
Team Secret Whales' elevated odds align with their regular season performance and playoff trajectory within the LCP. Regional League of Legends grand finals typically see favourites win at rates consistent with 65–75% probability ranges, particularly when seeding advantages or head-to-head records support the higher-ranked team. Deep Cross Gaming's path to the final suggests competitive capability, though the probability gap indicates scouts and analysts view Team Secret Whales as holding material advantages in macro play, team coordination, or individual player matchups.
Traders should monitor official LCP announcements regarding team roster confirmations, any last-minute substitutions, or scheduling changes in the 48 hours preceding the match. Patch notes released before 7 June could shift champion viability and preparation timelines. The settlement window closes at 15:00 UTC on match day; delays beyond seven days without resolution trigger a 50-50 split. Recent esports grand finals have proceeded on schedule absent extraordinary circumstances, though technical issues or player illness remain low-probability contingencies worth tracking through official LCP communications channels.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Trump Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Trump Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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