Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trump Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Trump Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Lexus Eastbourne Open: Caty McNally vs Petra Marcinko Match O/U 22.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open: Caty McNally vs Petra Marcinko Match O/U 23.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open: Caty McNally vs Petra Marcinko Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% Over 2.5 | 0% Under 2.5 |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open: Caty McNally vs Petra Marcinko | 0% Caty McNally | 100% Petra Marcinko |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Lexus Eastbourne Open: Caty McNally vs Petra Marcinko Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Lexus Eastbourne Open: Caty McNally vs Petra Marcinko. This market refers to the tennis match between Caty McNally and Petra Marcinko in the Lexus Eastbourne Open, originally scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Caty Mc…
Methodology
This page tracks Lexus Eastbourne Open: Caty McNally vs Petra Marcinko across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. Trump Prediction routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Trump Prediction?
- Zero. Trump Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Trump Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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