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Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

How the prediction markets are pricing "Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates" right now — live Polymarket order book quote, plus platform comparison.

28% YES 72% NO Volume: $776K Liquidity: $324K Closes: 30 Jun 2026
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Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Trump Prediction Pick
polygram.ink
28% 72% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Trump Prediction →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
28% 72% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Trump Prediction →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Trump Prediction →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Trump Prediction →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Trump Prediction →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Trump Prediction.

Active sub-markets

Spread -1.528% Seattle Mariners72% Pittsburgh Pirates
O/U 7.561% Over40% Under
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550% Seattle Mariners50% Pittsburgh Pirates
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550% Pittsburgh Pirates50% Seattle Mariners
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.550% Seattle Mariners50% Pittsburgh Pirates
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.550% Pittsburgh Pirates50% Seattle Mariners

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, seattle mariners vs. pittsburgh pirates stands at 28% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for June 23 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mar…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book signals 28% probability for "Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates".

YES 28% NO 72%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $776K.

Methodology

Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.

Resolution & payout

For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Trump Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does it cost to trade on Trump Prediction?
Zero. Trump Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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