Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Trump Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Race to 20 | 100% |
| Race to 30 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 110.5 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| Stephen Curry: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 34.5 | 100% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Stephen Curry: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Stephen Curry: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 94.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 96.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 98.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 100.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 102.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 104.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 106.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 108.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 45.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 47.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 51.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 50.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 52.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 54.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 56.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 58.5 | 100% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 50.5 | 100% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 52.5 | 100% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 54.5 | 100% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 56.5 | 100% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 58.5 | 100% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Draymond Green: Assists O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Draymond Green: Assists O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: Points O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 99% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 97% |
| LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 97% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 97% |
| O/U 216.5 | 96% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 96% |
| LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 5.5 | 96% |
| O/U 214.5 | 94% |
| O/U 218.5 | 93% |
| O/U 220.5 | 88% |
| Warriors vs. Timberwolves | 87% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 87% |
| Spread -1.5 | 85% |
| O/U 222.5 | 82% |
| Spread -3.5 | 79% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 9.5 | 78% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 19.5 | 77% |
| O/U 224.5 | 76% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 9.5 | 73% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 73% |
| Spread -5.5 | 71% |
| O/U 198.5 | 71% |
| O/U 200.5 | 71% |
| O/U 202.5 | 71% |
| O/U 204.5 | 71% |
| O/U 206.5 | 71% |
| O/U 208.5 | 71% |
| O/U 210.5 | 71% |
| O/U 212.5 | 71% |
| Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 68% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Assists O/U 1.5 | 68% |
| O/U 226.5 | 67% |
| O/U 227.5 | 65% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 1.5 | 64% |
| Draymond Green: Assists O/U 7.5 | 63% |
| Spread -7.5 | 62% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 3.5 | 60% |
| O/U 228.5 | 59% |
| Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 3.5 | 59% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 9.5 | 58% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 53% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 53% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 53% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 53% |
| Stephen Curry: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 53% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Assists O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Steals O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Steals O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Steals O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Steals O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Steals O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| LaMelo Ball: Steals O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| Spread -24.5 | 50% |
| Spread -26.5 | 50% |
| Spread -28.5 | 50% |
| O/U 230.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jaden McDaniels: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jaden McDaniels: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jaden McDaniels: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: 3-Pointers Made O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: 3-Pointers Made O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Stephen Curry: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Stephen Curry: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Stephen Curry: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Rudy Gobert: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Rudy Gobert: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Rudy Gobert: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jaden McDaniels: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Warriors O/U 101.5 | 50% |
| Timberwolves O/U 104.5 | 50% |
| Timberwolves O/U 106.5 | 50% |
| Warriors O/U 103.5 | 50% |
| Timberwolves O/U 108.5 | 50% |
| Warriors O/U 105.5 | 50% |
| Timberwolves O/U 110.5 | 50% |
| Warriors O/U 107.5 | 50% |
| Warriors O/U 113.5 | 50% |
| Timberwolves O/U 112.5 | 50% |
| Warriors O/U 109.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Timberwolves O/U 114.5 | 50% |
| Warriors O/U 111.5 | 50% |
| Timberwolves 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Timberwolves 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Timberwolves O/U 116.5 | 50% |
| Warriors O/U 115.5 | 50% |
| Timberwolves O/U 118.5 | 50% |
| Warriors O/U 117.5 | 50% |
| Timberwolves O/U 120.5 | 50% |
| Warriors O/U 119.5 | 50% |
| Timberwolves O/U 122.5 | 50% |
| Warriors O/U 121.5 | 50% |
| Timberwolves O/U 124.5 | 50% |
| Warriors O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Warriors O/U 123.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 2H O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Timberwolves 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Timberwolves 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Timberwolves 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Draymond Green: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Draymond Green: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Gui Santos: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Gui Santos: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Gui Santos: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Gui Santos: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Gui Santos: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Draymond Green: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Gui Santos: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Gui Santos: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Gui Santos: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Brandin Podziemski: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Brandin Podziemski: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Brandin Podziemski: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Brandin Podziemski: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Brandin Podziemski: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Brandin Podziemski: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Draymond Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Draymond Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Draymond Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Draymond Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Gui Santos: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Gui Santos: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Gui Santos: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Gui Santos: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jaden McDaniels: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Draymond Green: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Draymond Green: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Draymond Green: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 49% |
| Spread -16.5 | 49% |
| Spread -18.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 48% |
| 3Q O/U 62.5 | 48% |
| 3Q O/U 64.5 | 48% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 66.5 | 47% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 46% |
| Spread -11.5 | 41% |
| O/U 232.5 | 41% |
| LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5 | 37% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 36% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 9.5 | 35% |
| O/U 234.5 | 34% |
| Spread -13.5 | 33% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 33% |
| O/U 250.5 | 30% |
| O/U 252.5 | 30% |
| O/U 254.5 | 30% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 30% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 29% |
| Spread -30.5 | 28% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 14.5 | 27% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 5.5 | 27% |
| O/U 236.5 | 26% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 25% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 25% |
| Spread -15.5 | 24% |
| Spread -32.5 | 24% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 14.5 | 23% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 23% |
| LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 23% |
| Spread -23.5 | 21% |
| O/U 238.5 | 21% |
| LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 14.5 | 20% |
| LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 20% |
| Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 20% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 24.5 | 20% |
| Spread -17.5 | 19% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 3.5 | 19% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 19% |
| LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 9.5 | 18% |
| Spread -12.5 | 15% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Spread -19.5 | 13% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Assists O/U 3.5 | 13% |
| LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 14.5 | 13% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 24.5 | 13% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 24.5 | 12% |
| LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 29.5 | 12% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Draymond Green: Points O/U 14.5 | 12% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Assists O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 19.5 | 11% |
| Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 14.5 | 11% |
| Draymond Green: Points O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 19.5 | 11% |
| Spread -1.5 | 10% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 5.5 | 10% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| Spread -2.5 | 9% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 9% |
| Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 19.5 | 9% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 9% |
| Spread -4.5 | 7% |
| Spread -21.5 | 7% |
| Spread -3.5 | 7% |
| Spread -5.5 | 5% |
| Spread -6.5 | 3% |
| Spread -7.5 | 3% |
| Spread -10.5 | 2% |
| Spread -8.5 | 2% |
| Spread -9.5 | 2% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 2% |
| Race to 10 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 112.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 116.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 120.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 122.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 124.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 126.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 53.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 55.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 57.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Timberwolves 1H O/U 52.5 | 0% |
| Timberwolves 1H O/U 54.5 | 0% |
| Timberwolves 1H O/U 56.5 | 0% |
| Timberwolves 1H O/U 58.5 | 0% |
| Timberwolves 1H O/U 60.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to warriors vs. timberwolves. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 28 at 8:00PM ET: If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors". If the Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $3.5M.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Warriors vs. Timberwolves plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- How accurate are political prediction markets?
- Historically more accurate than polls. Polymarket's Brier score on US 2024 elections was ~0.11 — better than 538 (~0.14) and every mainstream poll. Markets aggregate information with real skin in the game.
- Which platform has the deepest political liquidity?
- Polymarket — by far. US 2024 presidential volume was ~$3.5B vs Kalshi (~$200M) and Betfair (~$120M). Where Polymarket is geo-blocked, brokers like Trump Prediction route into the same order book at 0% fees.
- How fast do political markets react to news?
- High-liquidity markets move within seconds to minutes. A Trump tweet on the economy can shift the "Trump 2024" market 2-5 points before mainstream media has written anything.
- Are political prediction markets legal in my country?
- It varies. They sit in legal gray areas in most jurisdictions. Polymarket is geo-blocked from US/UK/EU; some broker frontends have a different geo footprint. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose, and only if you understand the legal status in your jurisdiction.
- Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
- Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
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