Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Trump Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 202.5 | 96% |
| O/U 204.5 | 95% |
| O/U 206.5 | 94% |
| 1Q O/U 47.5 | 94% |
| 1H O/U 101.5 | 94% |
| 1H O/U 103.5 | 92% |
| O/U 208.5 | 91% |
| 1Q O/U 49.5 | 91% |
| Spurs vs. Kings | 90% |
| Spread -1.5 | 90% |
| O/U 210.5 | 88% |
| O/U 212.5 | 87% |
| Spread -3.5 | 87% |
| Kings O/U 94.5 | 87% |
| 1H O/U 105.5 | 86% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 9.5 | 85% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 84% |
| 1H Moneyline | 84% |
| 1Q O/U 51.5 | 84% |
| O/U 214.5 | 83% |
| Spread -5.5 | 83% |
| Julian Champagnie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 83% |
| 1H O/U 107.5 | 83% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 9.5 | 82% |
| Kings O/U 96.5 | 82% |
| O/U 216.5 | 81% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 19.5 | 81% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 81% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 9.5 | 80% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 1.5 | 79% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 1.5 | 79% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 79% |
| 1H O/U 109.5 | 79% |
| O/U 218.5 | 78% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 3.5 | 78% |
| 3Q O/U 50.5 | 78% |
| Spread -7.5 | 77% |
| Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 77% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 77% |
| 1Q O/U 53.5 | 77% |
| Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 75% |
| Devin Vassell: Steals O/U 0.5 | 75% |
| Kings O/U 98.5 | 75% |
| Spread -9.5 | 74% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 74% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 74% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 74% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 9.5 | 73% |
| Zach LaVine: Points O/U 14.5 | 73% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 73% |
| O/U 220.5 | 72% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 1.5 | 72% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 72% |
| 1H O/U 111.5 | 72% |
| Spread -10.5 | 71% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 59.5 | 71% |
| 1Q O/U 55.5 | 70% |
| Kings O/U 100.5 | 70% |
| O/U 222.5 | 69% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 69% |
| Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 1.5 | 69% |
| Kings 1H O/U 50.5 | 69% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 69% |
| Spread -11.5 | 68% |
| Zach LaVine: Assists O/U 1.5 | 68% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 68% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 3.5 | 67% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 66% |
| 1H O/U 113.5 | 66% |
| O/U 224.5 | 65% |
| Spread -12.5 | 65% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 65% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 65% |
| Julian Champagnie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 64% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 64% |
| Kings O/U 102.5 | 64% |
| Spread -13.5 | 63% |
| Malik Monk: Assists O/U 1.5 | 63% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 61.5 | 63% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 63% |
| Spread -14.5 | 61% |
| O/U 226.5 | 61% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 9.5 | 61% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5 | 61% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 61% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 61% |
| Kings 1H O/U 52.5 | 61% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 60% |
| 1Q O/U 57.5 | 60% |
| 4Q O/U 52.5 | 60% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 59% |
| Kings O/U 104.5 | 59% |
| Spurs O/U 122.5 | 58% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 58% |
| Spread -15.5 | 57% |
| O/U 228.5 | 57% |
| Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 57% |
| Keldon Johnson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 57% |
| Zach LaVine: Steals O/U 0.5 | 57% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 57% |
| Zach LaVine: Points O/U 9.5 | 56% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 56% |
| Zach LaVine: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 56% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 56% |
| Spread -16.5 | 55% |
| O/U 229.5 | 55% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 55% |
| Malik Monk: Assists O/U 3.5 | 55% |
| 1H O/U 117.5 | 55% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 55% |
| 2Q O/U 57.5 | 55% |
| 2Q O/U 58.5 | 55% |
| Spurs O/U 123.5 | 55% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 14.5 | 54% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 54% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 63.5 | 54% |
| 2Q O/U 55.5 | 54% |
| Spurs O/U 120.5 | 54% |
| 2Q O/U 53.5 | 54% |
| Spurs O/U 116.5 | 54% |
| Spurs O/U 110.5 | 54% |
| O/U 230.5 | 53% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5 | 53% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 53% |
| Spurs O/U 118.5 | 53% |
| Spurs O/U 114.5 | 53% |
| Spurs O/U 112.5 | 53% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5 | 52% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 5.5 | 52% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Assists O/U 5.5 | 52% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Malik Monk: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Malik Monk: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| 1Q O/U 59.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 52% |
| Spread -17.5 | 51% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| Malik Monk: Points O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 54.5 | 51% |
| Kings O/U 106.5 | 51% |
| Spurs O/U 124.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 64.5 | 51% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| Kings 1H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Keldon Johnson: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Keldon Johnson: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Zach LaVine: Points O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Malik Monk: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| O/U 231.5 | 49% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 48% |
| Keldon Johnson: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 48% |
| Zach LaVine: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 48% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 48% |
| 1H O/U 119.5 | 48% |
| O/U 232.5 | 47% |
| Spread -18.5 | 47% |
| Zach LaVine: Steals O/U 2.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 47% |
| 2Q O/U 61.5 | 47% |
| Spurs O/U 128.5 | 47% |
| Spurs O/U 130.5 | 47% |
| Spurs O/U 134.5 | 47% |
| Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 46% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 46% |
| Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 4.5 | 46% |
| Spurs O/U 132.5 | 46% |
| 1Q O/U 60.5 | 46% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 45% |
| Malik Monk: Assists O/U 9.5 | 45% |
| Spread -19.5 | 44% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 44% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 14.5 | 44% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 44% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 5.5 | 43% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 3.5 | 43% |
| De'Andre Hunter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| Malik Monk: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 43% |
| 1Q O/U 61.5 | 43% |
| Kings O/U 108.5 | 43% |
| Spurs O/U 126.5 | 43% |
| O/U 234.5 | 42% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 24.5 | 42% |
| Precious Achiuwa: Points O/U 4.5 | 42% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 42% |
| Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 42% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5 | 42% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 5.5 | 42% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 42% |
| 1H O/U 121.5 | 42% |
| Spread -20.5 | 41% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Points O/U 9.5 | 41% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 29.5 | 41% |
| Keldon Johnson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 41% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 40% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 19.5 | 40% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 40% |
| Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 40% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 3.5 | 40% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 40% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 65.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 40% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Points O/U 24.5 | 39% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Steals O/U 0.5 | 39% |
| O/U 236.5 | 38% |
| Spread -21.5 | 38% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 29.5 | 38% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 38% |
| Zach LaVine: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 38% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Steals O/U 0.5 | 38% |
| Kings 1H O/U 56.5 | 38% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5 | 37% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5 | 37% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 37% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 37% |
| 1H O/U 123.5 | 37% |
| 1Q O/U 63.5 | 36% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 36% |
| Kings O/U 110.5 | 36% |
| Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 35% |
| Stephon Castle: Steals O/U 0.5 | 35% |
| O/U 238.5 | 34% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 4.5 | 34% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 39.5 | 34% |
| Zach LaVine: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 34% |
| Dylan Harper: Steals O/U 0.5 | 34% |
| Spread -23.5 | 33% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 19.5 | 33% |
| De'Andre Hunter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 33% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Steals O/U 0.5 | 33% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 33% |
| Spurs 1H O/U 67.5 | 33% |
| Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 2.5 | 32% |
| Precious Achiuwa: Points O/U 9.5 | 32% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 32% |
| Keldon Johnson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 32% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 32% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 32% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 32% |
| 1H O/U 125.5 | 32% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5 | 31% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5 | 31% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 11.5 | 31% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 44.5 | 31% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 9.5 | 31% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 9.5 | 31% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Steals O/U 0.5 | 31% |
| Malik Monk: Points O/U 14.5 | 31% |
| O/U 240.5 | 30% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 28.5 | 30% |
| Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 30% |
| Kings O/U 112.5 | 29% |
| Spread -25.5 | 28% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 17.5 | 28% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Assists O/U 9.5 | 28% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| Kings 1H O/U 58.5 | 28% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 28% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 16.5 | 28% |
| 1Q O/U 65.5 | 28% |
| Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 27% |
| Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5 | 27% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 27% |
| Zach LaVine: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 27% |
| Malik Monk: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 27% |
| 3Q O/U 62.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 27% |
| 1H O/U 127.5 | 27% |
| O/U 242.5 | 26% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 26% |
| Spread -27.5 | 25% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 14.5 | 25% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 25% |
| Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 3.5 | 25% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 3.5 | 25% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Points O/U 14.5 | 24% |
| Zach LaVine: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 24% |
| Devin Vassell: Steals O/U 1.5 | 24% |
| 1Q Spread -11.5 | 24% |
| Kings O/U 114.5 | 24% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 29.5 | 23% |
| Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 23% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 19.5 | 23% |
| 1H O/U 129.5 | 23% |
| O/U 244.5 | 22% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 22% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 9.5 | 22% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Steals O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 22% |
| Keldon Johnson: Points O/U 14.5 | 21% |
| Zach LaVine: Points O/U 24.5 | 21% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 21% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 21% |
| Julian Champagnie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 21% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Steals O/U 1.5 | 21% |
| Malik Monk: Assists O/U 5.5 | 21% |
| 1Q O/U 67.5 | 21% |
| Kings O/U 116.5 | 21% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 19.5 | 20% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 19.5 | 20% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 20% |
| O/U 246.5 | 19% |
| Spread -29.5 | 19% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Assists O/U 7.5 | 19% |
| Zach LaVine: Assists O/U 3.5 | 19% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 19% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Blocks O/U 4.5 | 19% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 34.5 | 18% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 7.5 | 18% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 18% |
| Dylan Harper: Steals O/U 1.5 | 18% |
| Malik Monk: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| Stephon Castle: Steals O/U 1.5 | 18% |
| O/U 248.5 | 17% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 17% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 17% |
| De'Andre Hunter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Steals O/U 1.5 | 17% |
| 1H O/U 131.5 | 17% |
| Spread -31.5 | 16% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 9.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 16% |
| Kings O/U 118.5 | 16% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 15% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Assists O/U 1.5 | 15% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 15% |
| O/U 250.5 | 14% |
| O/U 258.5 | 14% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 39.5 | 14% |
| Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Precious Achiuwa: Points O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 14% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 7.5 | 14% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Steals O/U 1.5 | 14% |
| 1Q O/U 69.5 | 14% |
| 1H O/U 133.5 | 14% |
| Spread -33.5 | 13% |
| Devin Vassell: Steals O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -22.5 | 13% |
| Spread -43.5 | 12% |
| Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| Julian Champagnie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| Zach LaVine: Steals O/U 1.5 | 12% |
| O/U 252.5 | 11% |
| Keldon Johnson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 11% |
| Spread -35.5 | 10% |
| O/U 254.5 | 10% |
| Spread -12.5 | 10% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 10% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Steals O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 71.5 | 10% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 9% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 9% |
| Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 9% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 9% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 9% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Steals O/U 2.5 | 9% |
| Spread -37.5 | 8% |
| O/U 256.5 | 8% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Points O/U 34.5 | 8% |
| Devin Vassell: Points O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| Dylan Harper: Points O/U 24.5 | 8% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 24.5 | 8% |
| Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Zach LaVine: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Zach LaVine: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| Dylan Harper: Steals O/U 2.5 | 8% |
| Malik Monk: Points O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Stephon Castle: Steals O/U 2.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 8% |
| Stephon Castle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Devin Vassell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Malik Monk: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| De'Andre Hunter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -24.5 | 7% |
| Spread -2.5 | 6% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 24.5 | 6% |
| Zach LaVine: Points O/U 29.5 | 6% |
| Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 5.5 | 6% |
| Julian Champagnie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Steals O/U 2.5 | 6% |
| Malik Monk: Assists O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -26.5 | 6% |
| Spread -4.5 | 5% |
| Spread -39.5 | 5% |
| De'Andre Hunter: Assists O/U 3.5 | 5% |
| Zach LaVine: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 19.5 | 5% |
| Keldon Johnson: Points O/U 19.5 | 5% |
| De'Aaron Fox: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 5% |
| De'Andre Hunter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 5% |
| Malik Monk: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 5% |
| Spread -6.5 | 4% |
| Spread -41.5 | 4% |
| Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 24.5 | 4% |
| Devin Vassell: Assists O/U 5.5 | 4% |
| Precious Achiuwa: Points O/U 19.5 | 4% |
| Malik Monk: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 4% |
| Dylan Harper: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 4% |
| Victor Wembanyama: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 4% |
| De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 4% |
| Darius Acuff Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 4% |
| Spread -8.5 | 3% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 3% |
| Spread -10.5 | 2% |
Market context
The Spurs vs. Kings prediction market currently prices this outcome at 96% YES. In the upcoming NBA game between Spurs and Kings, originally scheduled for Friday, November 6, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Spurs win, the mark…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $676K.
Methodology
This page tracks Spurs vs. Kings across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. For users geo-blocked from Polymarket directly, brokers like Trump Prediction provide a 0%-fee route into the same order book.
Resolution & payout
Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- What resolution source is used for elections?
- Polymarket defines the source per contract — usually Associated Press (AP Race Call), Reuters or the official electoral commission. The source is stated in contract details before the market opens.
- Which platform has the deepest political liquidity?
- Polymarket — by far. US 2024 presidential volume was ~$3.5B vs Kalshi (~$200M) and Betfair (~$120M). Where Polymarket is geo-blocked, brokers like Trump Prediction route into the same order book at 0% fees.
- How fast do political markets react to news?
- High-liquidity markets move within seconds to minutes. A Trump tweet on the economy can shift the "Trump 2024" market 2-5 points before mainstream media has written anything.
- Are political prediction markets legal in my country?
- It varies. They sit in legal gray areas in most jurisdictions. Polymarket is geo-blocked from US/UK/EU; some broker frontends have a different geo footprint. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose, and only if you understand the legal status in your jurisdiction.
- Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
- Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
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