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San Marino vs. Albania - Exact Score

How the prediction markets are pricing "San Marino vs. Albania - Exact Score" right now — live Polymarket order book quote, plus platform comparison.

Any Other Score 50% San Marino 0 - 1 Albania 26% San Marino 0 - 2 Albania 25% San Marino 2 - 0 Albania 25% Volume: $70K Liquidity: $2K Closes: 29 Sept 2026
Open live market →
San Marino vs. Albania - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Trump Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
50% 50% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
50% 50% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Any Other Score50%
San Marino 0 - 1 Albania26%
San Marino 0 - 2 Albania25%
San Marino 2 - 0 Albania25%
San Marino 0 - 3 Albania25%
San Marino 2 - 1 Albania25%
San Marino 3 - 0 Albania25%
San Marino 1 - 3 Albania25%
San Marino 2 - 2 Albania25%
San Marino 3 - 1 Albania25%
San Marino 3 - 2 Albania25%
San Marino 3 - 3 Albania25%
San Marino 1 - 1 Albania22%
San Marino 1 - 2 Albania20%
San Marino 1 - 0 Albania13%
San Marino 0 - 0 Albania4%
San Marino 2 - 3 Albania1%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 50% probability to san marino vs. albania - exact score. In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between San Marino and Albania, scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the San Marino vs. Albania…

Methodology

Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for San Marino vs. Albania - Exact Score plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.

Resolution & payout

For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Can prediction markets influence election outcomes?
Markets reflect expectations rather than create them. Studies show public-facing markets can anchor expectations, but don't influence the underlying outcome. Political markets are information, not advocacy.
How fast do political markets react to news?
High-liquidity markets move within seconds to minutes. A Trump tweet on the economy can shift the "Trump 2024" market 2-5 points before mainstream media has written anything.
Are political prediction markets legal in my country?
It varies. They sit in legal gray areas in most jurisdictions. Polymarket is geo-blocked from US/UK/EU; some broker frontends have a different geo footprint. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose, and only if you understand the legal status in your jurisdiction.
Why do Polymarket and Kalshi differ on elections?
Kalshi must follow CFTC compliance — strict definitions, clear resolution sources, US citizens only with KYC. Polymarket operates globally without CFTC oversight — deeper liquidity, but also higher regulatory risk.
Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
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