# of views of MrBeast video day 2?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

MrBeast's latest YouTube upload will accumulate views during its first 48 hours of availability, with this market tracking whether that count reaches specific thresholds by the settlement deadline in June 2026. The resolution hinges on the public view counter displayed on his channel at the exact moment the two-day window closes, regardless of any algorithmic suppression or platform changes that might occur afterwards.

MrBeast's recent video performance establishes the baseline for interpreting current odds. His uploads consistently exceed 50 million views within 48 hours; a December 2024 video reached 80 million views in that window, whilst earlier releases in 2024 regularly landed between 60 and 100 million. The 0% probability assigned to this market suggests traders are pricing in either an unusually low-performing upload or uncertainty about whether the specified video has actually been posted yet. Historical precedent indicates that even his lower-performing content clears 40 million views in two days, making extremely low brackets statistically improbable given his audience size and upload consistency.

Traders should monitor whether MrBeast maintains his typical upload schedule through May 2026 and whether any significant changes to YouTube's view-counting methodology occur before settlement. Platform policy shifts or algorithmic adjustments could affect reported figures. The specific video title reference ("I Survived 7") remains incomplete in available market documentation, creating ambiguity about which upload this resolves against. Clarification on the exact video identifier will be essential before the settlement window closes on 1 June 2026.

Methodology

This page tracks # of views of MrBeast video day 2? across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. Trump Prediction routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Trump Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Trump Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.