Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trump Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Trump Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Canada (-1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Uzbekistan (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Canada (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Uzbekistan (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Canada and Uzbekistan are scheduled to play a FIFA International Friendly on 1 June at 9:00 PM ET. The market is asking whether additional betting markets will be offered for this fixture. The 100% crowd probability suggests traders expect supplementary markets—such as correct score, first goalscorer, or card totals—to become available before settlement closes on 2 June at 01:00 UTC.
International Friendlies typically attract secondary market coverage proportional to the teams' ranking and commercial profile. Canada currently ranks 48th in the FIFA world rankings; Uzbekistan sits at 89th. Historical precedent shows that matches involving CONCACAF nations (Canada's confederation) receive more granular market depth than lower-ranked Asian sides, particularly when scheduled during established international windows. However, the absence of qualifying stakes or tournament context—this is a standalone friendly rather than World Cup or continental championship preparation—may limit bookmaker appetite for extended market suites. Comparable June friendlies involving mid-tier nations have occasionally seen only core markets (match result, over/under goals) rather than comprehensive offerings.
The settlement window's tight closure—just four hours after kickoff—creates operational pressure on sportsbooks to deploy additional markets quickly or not at all. Traders should monitor whether the hosting broadcaster and primary betting operators announce expanded market rosters in the 48 hours before the match. Recent FIFA International Friendly fixtures have shown variable market availability depending on operator jurisdiction and liquidity expectations.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $238K.
Methodology
This page tracks Canada vs. Uzbekistan - More Markets across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. Trump Prediction routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Trump Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Trump Prediction?
- Zero. Trump Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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