Austria vs. Jordan - Exact Score

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Austria and Jordan will meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup on 17 June, with the match settling on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The 6% probability assigned to this specific outcome reflects the inherent difficulty in predicting precise scorelines in international football, where most matches conclude with one of a limited set of results. Austria, ranked 10th globally as of late 2025, enters as a clear favourite against Jordan, currently ranked 84th. Historical precedent suggests that when a top-ten nation faces an opponent ranked outside the top 50, exact-score markets typically concentrate probability mass on low-scoring outcomes favourable to the stronger side—particularly 1–0, 2–0, and 2–1 results.

The market's current lean reflects standard assumptions about Austria's technical superiority and possession dominance, though exact-score betting remains inherently volatile given the discrete nature of goal-scoring events. Traders should monitor team news releases and squad announcements in the weeks preceding the fixture, particularly regarding Austria's attacking personnel and any injury developments that might shift expected goal output. Jordan's recent competitive record and defensive stability in qualifying rounds will influence whether the market reprices toward narrow Austrian victories or higher-scoring scenarios. The settlement window closes shortly after the final whistle, allowing minimal time for dispute resolution.

Methodology

This page tracks Austria vs. Jordan - Exact Score across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. Trump Prediction routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Trump Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Trump Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.