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Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs magic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

"Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs magic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs" across the four most-traded political prediction venues — live data, regulatory notes, every CTA to Trump Prediction.

17% YES 83% NO Volume: $324K Liquidity: $195K Closes: 27 May 2026
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Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs magic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Trump Prediction Pick
polygram.ink
17% 83% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Trump Prediction →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
17% 83% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Trump Prediction →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Trump Prediction →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Trump Prediction →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Trump Prediction →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Trump Prediction.

Active sub-markets

Match Winner17% YES83% NO
Map 1 Winner0% YES100% NO
Map 2 Winner42% YES58% NO
O/U 2.5 Games54% YES46% NO
Map Handicap: 3DMAX (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)0% YES100% NO
Odd/Even Total Kills10% YES90% NO

Market context

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs magic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs — current market-implied probability: 17%. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between 3DMAX and magic in the Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 27 at 6:00AM ET. This market wi…

Methodology

Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs magic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.

Resolution & payout

Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On Trump Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Trump Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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