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Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

"Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs" — live political-market odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

68% YES 32% NO Volume: $230K Liquidity: $213K Closes: 27 May 2026
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Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Trump Prediction Pick
polygram.ink
68% 32% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Trump Prediction →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
68% 32% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Trump Prediction →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Trump Prediction →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Trump Prediction →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Trump Prediction →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Trump Prediction.

Active sub-markets

Match Winner68% YES33% NO
Map 1 Winner56% YES44% NO
Map 2 Winner63% YES38% NO
O/U 2.5 Games46% YES55% NO
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5)38% YES63% NO
Odd/Even Total Kills50% YES50% NO

Market context

The Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs prediction market currently prices this outcome at 68% YES. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 match between 9z and Sharks in the Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 27 at 1:30PM ET. This market will…

Methodology

This page tracks Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. Trump Prediction routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On Trump Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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