Palestine vs. Kenya - Exact Score

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Palestine and Kenya will meet in a FIFA International Friendly on 6 June 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. The market resolves on the exact final score after 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time, with any result not explicitly listed settling as "Any Other Score." The 100% probability assigned to YES suggests traders expect the match will occur as scheduled and produce a scoreline matching one of the predefined outcomes, rather than being cancelled or postponed beyond the settlement window.

Historical precedent for international friendlies between lower-ranked nations shows considerable volatility in scorelines. Palestine currently sits outside the FIFA top 100, whilst Kenya ranks approximately 110th globally. Friendlies involving teams in this ranking band typically produce outcomes ranging from 0–0 draws to 3–1 victories, with 1–1 and 2–1 results appearing most frequently in comparable fixtures. The concentration of probability on YES rather than distributed confidence across specific scorelines suggests the market is primarily pricing the likelihood of match completion rather than forecasting the precise result.

Traders should monitor FIFA's official fixture calendar and both national associations' announcements through May 2026, particularly given the geopolitical context affecting Palestine's participation in international competitions. Recent friendly schedules published by the Palestine Football Association indicate consistent fixture completion rates, though travel and security considerations occasionally force rescheduling. The settlement window closes 6 June at 12:30 PM ET, providing a 4-hour buffer after the scheduled kick-off for final score confirmation through official FIFA channels.

Methodology

This page tracks Palestine vs. Kenya - Exact Score across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. Trump Prediction routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Trump Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Trump Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on Trump Prediction?

Zero. Trump Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Trump Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.