Türkiye vs. Paraguay - Exact Score

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Türkiye and Paraguay are meeting in a World Cup group-stage match, and the exact-score market is currently pricing a relatively low-probability outcome at 8% for “Yes”, which usually signals that traders expect one of the more common scorelines rather than a narrow, specifically listed result. The live market is also reflecting a fairly tight contest: ESPN’s pre-match board showed Türkiye slightly favoured at +105, Paraguay at +285 and the draw at +245, with a 2.5-goal total leaning under, which is consistent with a modest-scoring game rather than a wide-open shootout.[2]

For a scoreline market like this, the best comparables are recent head-to-head and tournament-style fixtures where one or both sides have been priced close to even but the total goals market stayed restrained. Sky Sports’ pre-match preview and AiScore’s head-to-head page both point to a matchup that has not historically produced a heavy scoring bias, which helps explain why the crowd is not assigning much weight to a specific exact result.[3][4] In practical terms, the 8% implies traders see a fairly broad range of plausible final scores, with “Any Other Score” carrying the residual weight.

The main catalyst is the match itself rather than off-pitch news: the market will resolve on the score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, so late goals matter, while extra time and penalties do not.[6] Traders should watch the starting line-ups, any tactical adjustment from the pre-match odds board, and whether the live score follows the under-leaning total that ESPN published before kick-off.[2] FIFA’s match centre confirms the fixture timing and tournament stage, so the relevant dependency is simply whether the game lands inside the listed exact-score outcomes before the settlement window closes.[6]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Türkiye vs. Paraguay - Exact Score plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.

Resolution & payout

For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Trump Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Trump Prediction?

Zero. Trump Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.