Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trump Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
35% | 65% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
35% | 65% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Trump Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| O/U 4.5 Games | 35% YES | 66% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp Blue (+1.5) | 97% YES | 3% NO |
| Game Handicap: SLY (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp Blue (+2.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 100% YES | 1% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% YES | 1% NO |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: solary vs karmine corp blue (bo5) - lfl playoffs stands at 35% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between Solary and Karmine Corp Blue in the LFL Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 27 at 12:00PM ET. This market will re…
Methodology
This page tracks LoL: Solary vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - LFL Playoffs across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. Trump Prediction routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Trump Prediction?
- Zero. Trump Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Trump Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade LoL: Solary vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - LFL Playoffs on Trump Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Trump Prediction →