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LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

"LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season" — live political-market odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? 69% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 53% Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors 52% First Blood in Game 1? 52% Volume: $68K Liquidity: $129K Closes: 24 Aug 2026
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LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Trump Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
69% 31% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
69% 31% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?69%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
First Blood in Game 1?52%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?51%
Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor48%
O/U 2.5 Games42%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?36%
Game 1 Winner31%
Game 2 Winner31%
Match Winner23%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?23%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 69% probability to lol: dignitas vs flyquest (bo3) - lcs regular season. This market refers to the LoL match between Dignitas and FlyQuest in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Dignitas" if Dignitas …

Methodology

Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.

Resolution & payout

For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

How accurate are political prediction markets?
Historically more accurate than polls. Polymarket's Brier score on US 2024 elections was ~0.11 — better than 538 (~0.14) and every mainstream poll. Markets aggregate information with real skin in the game.
What resolution source is used for elections?
Polymarket defines the source per contract — usually Associated Press (AP Race Call), Reuters or the official electoral commission. The source is stated in contract details before the market opens.
Can prediction markets influence election outcomes?
Markets reflect expectations rather than create them. Studies show public-facing markets can anchor expectations, but don't influence the underlying outcome. Political markets are information, not advocacy.
How fast do political markets react to news?
High-liquidity markets move within seconds to minutes. A Trump tweet on the economy can shift the "Trump 2024" market 2-5 points before mainstream media has written anything.
Are UK election prediction markets available from the UK?
Yes. Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer UKGC-regulated UK election markets (seat counts, party share, constituency results). Polymarket also lists UK election contracts with deeper global liquidity. Betfair winnings are typically tax-free for UK individuals; Polymarket profits are subject to HMRC CGT.
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