How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Trump Prediction?

Zero. Trump Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Trump Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies — Live Market Consensus

Name: Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Start: 2026-06-10T13:26:00.349Z
End: 2026-06-23T22:40:00.000Z

Platform comparison

Platform	YES odds	NO odds	Fee	KYC	Settlement
Trump Prediction Pick polygram.ink	12%	88%	0% (USDC on-chain)	No-KYC up to $1,500	USDC, auto via UMA oracle	Open on Trump Prediction →
Polymarket polymarket.com	12%	88%	0%	Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU	USDC, on-chain	Open on Trump Prediction →
Kalshi kalshi.com	—	—	Up to 7% per trade	US-only, KYC required	USD	Open on Trump Prediction →
Betfair Exchange betfair.com	—	—	2-5% commission	Full KYC from first trade	GBP / EUR	Open on Trump Prediction →
Manifold Markets manifold.markets	—	—	Play-money (mana)	None — play-money	Mana (no cash-out)	Open on Trump Prediction →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Trump Prediction.

Active sub-markets

Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies	12% Miami Marlins	89% Philadelphia Phillies
NRFI	100% YES	0% NO
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5	53% Over	48% Under
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5	51% Over	50% Under
Extra Innings	50% YES	51% NO
Spread -3.5	55% Philadelphia Phillies	45% Miami Marlins

Market context

Market consensus: 12% chance of miami marlins vs. philadelphia phillies. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for June 16 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book signals 12% probability for "Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies".

YES 12% NO 88%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $540K.

Methodology

Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.

Resolution & payout

Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.

FAQ

How does resolution work?: Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?: A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does it cost to trade on Trump Prediction?: Zero. Trump Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
How fast are USDC deposits?: Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?: Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Trump Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

Sarah MitchellPolitical Markets Writerand

James WilliamsPrediction Market Analyst

Trade Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies on Trump Prediction

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Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Live Data & Statistics

Methodology

Resolution & payout

FAQ

Trade Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies on Trump Prediction

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