Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trump Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Trump Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Map Handicap: DNM (-1.5) vs Alliance Guardians (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Match Winner | 6% YES | 94% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 12% YES | 89% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map Handicap: AG (-1.5) vs Dynamo Esports (+1.5) | 55% YES | 45% NO |
Market context
Dynamo Esports and Alliance Guardians are scheduled to compete in a best-of-three Valorant match on 1 June at 4:00PM ET as part of the VCL North America Stage 3 Group Stage. The contest forms part of the third round of fixtures in the regional league's current season, with both teams seeking to establish positioning within their group before the stage concludes. Settlement occurs at 2:00AM UTC on 2 June, allowing a narrow window for match completion and result confirmation.
The 0% implied probability for Dynamo victory reflects either substantial uncertainty about match occurrence or a strong market lean toward Alliance Guardians. VCL North America matches have historically proceeded as scheduled, though technical issues or roster complications occasionally force postponements. Without recent public statements regarding either team's readiness or fixture disruptions, the extreme probability skew suggests traders are pricing in either Alliance's demonstrated superiority in prior encounters or confidence in their current roster composition relative to Dynamo's recent form.
Traders should monitor official VCL North America announcements through their social channels and the Valorant Champions League website for any schedule changes, player availability disclosures, or technical delays in the hours preceding the match. Team rosters and recent scrim results occasionally circulate through community sources ahead of group stage fixtures, potentially shifting assessment of competitive balance. The seven-day resolution window for delayed matches creates a secondary catalyst: if the fixture is postponed without immediate rescheduling, the 50-50 tie resolution becomes operative, fundamentally altering market dynamics.
Methodology
This page tracks Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. Trump Prediction routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Trump Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Trump Prediction?
- Zero. Trump Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians (BO3)… on Trump Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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