Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

# Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

3DMAX and Alliance meet in the lower bracket round one of the Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs, a best-of-three Counter-Strike match scheduled for 28 May at 6:00 AM ET. The current crowd-implied probability of 56% YES suggests marginal confidence in 3DMAX's victory. This fixture represents a critical elimination match; the loser departs the tournament entirely, whilst the winner advances to face the lower bracket round two opponent.

Historical performance between these rosters offers limited direct precedent, though both organisations have competed in regional European circuits. 3DMAX has demonstrated stronger recent form in tier-one qualifiers, whilst Alliance operates as a mid-tier roster with inconsistent results against top competition. The 56% lean towards 3DMAX reflects their superior recent trajectory rather than a decisive historical advantage. Comparable lower-bracket encounters in Stake Ranked events typically see the higher-seeded roster favoured by 55–65%, placing this probability within expected range for a match between unequal competitors.

Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute substitutions announced before the 6:00 AM ET start. Technical issues or server problems affecting either team's preparation could shift odds materially. The settlement window closes at 16:00 UTC on 28 May, allowing seven hours post-match for result confirmation. Any delay beyond 7 days without a completed match triggers a 50-50 resolution, creating tail-risk exposure for positions held through the final hours.

Methodology

This page tracks Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. Trump Prediction routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Trump Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Trump Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.