LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

KT Rolster and T1 are scheduled to face off in a League of Legends Champions Korea (LCK) best-of-three match on 28 May 2026 at 06:00 ET. The contest forms part of the regular season's opening rounds and will determine early-season positioning within the region's top professional division. Current market pricing reflects a 44 per cent probability of a KT Rolster victory, implying T1 are favoured at roughly 56 per cent.

Historical matchup data between these organisations provides essential context. T1 have dominated the LCK fixture in recent seasons, winning the majority of encounters across 2024 and 2025. KT Rolster, whilst competitive, have struggled to consistently overcome T1's roster depth and strategic execution. The current odds suggest some expectation of competitive balance or potential roster changes that might narrow the gap, though T1's institutional advantage in high-stakes matches remains pronounced. Previous seasons show T1 converting early-round advantages into playoff seeding benefits at rates exceeding 70 per cent.

Traders should monitor roster announcements and any injury disclosures in the fortnight preceding the match, as LCK teams frequently adjust lineups during round-robin phases. Coaching staff changes or mid-season transfers could materially shift win probabilities. The settlement window closes at the scheduled match time, leaving no buffer for delays beyond seven days; any postponement extending past 4 June 2026 would trigger a 50-50 resolution. Recent LCK scheduling has remained reliable, with cancellations rare, though technical issues during broadcast have occasionally required replays.

Methodology

This page tracks LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. Trump Prediction routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.

Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Trump Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Trump Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.