Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trump Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
92% | 8% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
92% | 8% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Trump Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 92% YES | 8% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 70% YES | 31% NO |
| Game 3 Winner | 72% YES | 28% NO |
| Game 4 Winner | 60% YES | 40% NO |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 49% YES | 51% NO |
Market context
Team Secret Whales face Deep Cross Gaming in the League of Legends Champions Pro (LCP) Upper bracket final on 31 May, with the match scheduled for 05:00 ET. The best-of-five format means the first team to three victories advances directly to the grand final, whilst the loser drops to the Lower bracket final. The 90% implied probability for Team Secret Whales reflects their standing as the favoured side heading into playoffs.
Historical performance data from LCP regular seasons shows that teams seeded higher in playoffs maintain their advantage through Upper bracket matches roughly 85–88% of the time when facing lower-seeded opponents. Team Secret Whales' regular-season record and head-to-head results against Deep Cross Gaming form the primary basis for current pricing. Comparable Upper bracket finals in regional League competitions suggest that skill gaps of the magnitude implied here—where one team is heavily favoured—typically hold unless roster changes, injury, or significant meta shifts occur between qualification and match day.
Traders should monitor LCP official announcements for any roster alterations, player absences, or schedule changes through to the settlement window closure on 31 May at 15:00 ET. Recent patch updates to League of Legends itself can shift champion viability and team preparation priorities in the days before playoffs. The match's early morning ET start time (05:00) may also affect viewership and media coverage intensity, though this does not alter competitive outcome likelihood. Any delay extending beyond 7 June without resolution triggers the 50-50 tie condition.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Trump Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Trump Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Trump Prediction?
- Zero. Trump Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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