Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trump Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Trump Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| CD Limache (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| CD Coquimbo Unido (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| CD Limache (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| CD Coquimbo Unido (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
CD Limache and CD Coquimbo Unido are scheduled to contest a Primera División match on 31 May 2026 at 12:30 PM ET. The market currently reflects zero probability of additional betting markets being created for this fixture, suggesting traders expect the standard set of outcomes (match result, goals, cards) to remain the only options available through settlement.
Historical precedent from Chilean football betting platforms shows that secondary markets—such as exact scorelines, player performance props, or corner totals—are typically offered only for matches involving the traditional "big five" clubs (Universidad de Chile, Colo-Colo, Universidad Católica, Magallanes, and Audax Italiano). Both Limache and Coquimbo Unido, whilst established clubs, operate outside this tier and have historically received minimal supplementary market coverage. The zero probability reflects this structural pattern rather than any specific fixture-level decision.
The settlement window closes on 31 May at 16:30 UTC, approximately four hours after kick-off. Traders should monitor whether the match attracts unusual broadcast prominence or sponsorship attention in the weeks preceding it—factors that occasionally prompt betting operators to expand market offerings. Additionally, any announcement from the Chilean football federation regarding fixture rescheduling or format changes could alter operator decisions about market depth. As of late 2025, no such announcements have been reported by major Chilean sports outlets including Cooperativa or El Mercurio's sports section.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $176K.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for CD Limache vs. CD Coquimbo Unido - More Markets plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
Political markets typically settle on official candidate or agency confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, the two-hour window opens, then the smart contract pays USDC.
Kalshi settles USD via CFTC clearinghouse, with clearly defined resolution sources (e.g. AP race calls for elections). Betfair settles after the official outcome is registered with the league or agency. Manifold is play-money.
FAQ
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Trump Prediction?
- Zero. Trump Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Trump Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade CD Limache vs. CD Coquimbo Unido - More Markets on Trump Prediction
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