Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Ninjas in Pyjamas and FaZe Clan are scheduled to contest the lower bracket final of the Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs on 30 May at 9:00 AM ET in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match. The winner advances to the grand final whilst the loser is eliminated from the tournament. The match settlement window closes at 7:00 PM ET on the same day, allowing a nine-hour window for play and resolution.

The 100% implied probability reflects the structural certainty of a lower bracket final in an established esports tournament rather than confidence in either team's victory. Comparable esports playoff matches on prediction markets typically settle with near-complete clarity when scheduled within formal tournament brackets, as organisers enforce strict scheduling and forfeiture rules to maintain competitive integrity. Historical data from similar Counter-Strike tournaments shows that matches in defined playoff stages proceed as scheduled in over 98% of cases, with cancellations or extended delays remaining exceptionally rare.

Traders should monitor Stake's official tournament communications for any schedule adjustments, team roster changes, or technical issues that could delay proceedings beyond the seven-day threshold. Recent esports tournament coverage indicates that lower bracket finals typically commence within their scheduled windows, though equipment failures or unforeseen circumstances occasionally force brief delays. The match outcome itself remains genuinely competitive; both teams possess comparable recent form in professional Counter-Strike, making the binary result unpredictable despite the settlement probability's current extreme positioning.

Methodology

This page tracks Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs across four political prediction venues. Live odds come from the Polymarket order book (the deepest political prediction-market book). Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US alternative, Betfair the established UK sports-exchange with politics markets, Manifold the open play-money variant. Trump Prediction routes every trade through to Polymarket — at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Trump Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Trump Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.