Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trump Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Trump Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Trump Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 3 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 4 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
The China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffs third-place match between All Gamers and TYLOO represents a consolation fixture in one of China's premier Valorant competitions. Scheduled for 30 May 2026 at 05:00 ET, the best-of-five encounter will determine which team secures third place in the regional tournament structure. Both organisations compete within China's competitive Valorant ecosystem, where roster stability and recent form carry measurable weight in match outcomes.
Historical precedent from Chinese Valorant tournaments suggests third-place matches typically proceed as scheduled, with cancellations or extended delays remaining uncommon. TYLOO has established itself as a consistent performer in regional competitions, whilst All Gamers' trajectory through the playoffs will inform expectations around competitive readiness. The 100% crowd-implied probability indicates market participants expect the match to occur and resolve decisively rather than face cancellation or indefinite postponement—a baseline assumption grounded in tournament infrastructure reliability rather than predictive confidence in either team's victory.
Traders should monitor official China Evolution Series communications for any fixture rescheduling announcements, team roster changes, or unforeseen logistical disruptions in the week preceding the match. Valorant esports schedules in the Chinese region have historically maintained adherence to published dates, though technical issues or organisational changes occasionally necessitate brief delays. The settlement window closes at the scheduled match time, meaning any postponement beyond 7 days would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause. Recent team performance metrics and head-to-head records between All Gamers and TYLOO remain the primary variables determining which side the market should favour once additional information surfaces.
Methodology
Political prediction markets differ structurally from sports betting: thinner liquidity, longer settlement windows, higher sensitivity to single news events. This page shows the live Polymarket quote for Valorant: All Gamers vs TYLOO (BO5) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffs plus platform attributes for the three reference venues, so you can see at a glance where the deepest market for this question sits.
Resolution & payout
For political markets the resolution source is decisive. Polymarket defines a concrete source per contract (e.g. AP, Reuters, official electoral commission) and uses the UMA Optimistic Oracle as the on-chain dispute mechanism. With a clearly defined outcome the USDC payout lands within minutes of the final confirmation.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Trump Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Trump Prediction?
- Zero. Trump Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Trump Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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